Updated: 25-Nov-25 10:22 ET
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| Updated: 25-Nov-25 10:22 ET |
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Highlights
- The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 88.7 in November (Briefing.com consensus 93.3) from an upwardly revised 95.5 (from 94.6) in October.
- In the same period a year ago, the index stood at 112.8.
Key Factors
- The Present Situation Index decreased to 126.9 from 131.2.
- The Expectations Index decreased to 63.2 from 71.8, remaining below 80, which is a level that typically signals recession ahead. This index has been below 80 since February 2025.
- Average 12-month inflation expectations held at 5.7%.
Big Picture
- The key takeaway from the report is that there was a further deterioration in the expectations index, with sentiment on business conditions, labor market conditions, and household income all trending negatively. That could portend a slowdown in discretionary spending activity.
| Category |
NOV |
OCT |
SEP |
AUG |
JUL |
| Conference Board |
88.7 |
95.5 |
95.6 |
97.8 |
98.7 |
| Expectations |
63.2 |
71.8 |
74.4 |
74.7 |
76.0 |
| Present Situation |
126.9 |
131.2 |
127.5 |
132.4 |
132.8 |
| Employment ('plentiful' less 'hard to get') |
9.7 |
10.3 |
8.7 |
11.1 |
11.0 |
| 1 yr inflation expectations |
5.7% |
5.7% |
5.8% |
6.1% |
5.7% |