Updated: 31-Jul-26 09:19 ET
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| Updated: 31-Jul-26 09:19 ET |
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Highlights
- The Q2 Employment Cost Index increased 0.9% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.8%) on the heels of a 0.9% increase in Q1, with wages and salaries up 0.9% and benefit costs up 1.0%.
Key Factors
- Compensation costs for civilian workers rose 3.4% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 3.6% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025. Wages and salaries increased 3.2% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 3.6% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025. Benefit costs increased 3.8% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 3.5% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025.
- Compensation costs for private industry workers rose 3.3% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 3.5% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025. Wages and salaries increased 3.1% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 3.5% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025. Benefit costs increased 3.8% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 3.4% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025.
- Compensation costs for state and local government workers rose 3.6% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 4.0% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025. Wages and salaries increased 3.4% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 3.9% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025. Benefit costs increased 4.0% for the 12-month period ending in June 2026 versus 4.1% for the 12-month period ending in June 2025.
Big Picture
- The key takeaway from the report is that wages and salaries for civilian workers, up 3.2% year-over-year, are not keeping up with inflation. That could eventually lead to reduced discretionary spending activity.
| Category |
Q2 |
Q1 |
Q4 |
Q3 |
Q2 |
| Quarterly Changes |
|
|
|
|
|
| Total ECI |
0.9% |
0.9% |
0.7% |
0.8% |
0.9% |
| Wages and Salaries |
0.9% |
0.8% |
0.7% |
0.8% |
1.0% |
| Benefits |
1.0% |
1.2% |
0.8% |
0.8% |
0.7% |
| Year/Year Changes |
|
|
|
|
|
| Total ECI |
3.4% |
3.4% |
3.4% |
3.5% |
3.6% |
| Wages and Salaries |
3.2% |
3.4% |
3.3% |
3.5% |
3.6% |
| Benefits |
3.8% |
3.6% |
3.4% |
3.5% |
3.5% |