Updated: 30-Jul-26 10:10 ET
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| Updated: 30-Jul-26 10:10 ET |
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Highlights
- Personal income increased 0.2% month-over-month in June (Briefing.com consensus: 0.3%), personal spending jumped 0.3% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.4%), the PCE Price Index was down 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus: -0.1%), and the core-PCE Price Index rose 0.1% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.2%).
- On a year-over-year basis, the PCE Price Index was up 3.7% versus 4.1% in May, and the core-PCE Price Index was up 3.3% versus 3.4% in June.
Key Factors
- The PCE Price Index for Goods was down 0.6% in June after increasing 0.4% in May.
- The PCE Price Index for Services was up 0.1% in June after increasing 0.5% in May.
- Wages and salaries increased 0.2% month-over-month in June after increasing 0.4% in May.
- Real disposable income increased 0.3% month-over-month in June after increasing 0.2% in May.
- Real personal spending was up 0.4% month-over-month after being up 0.4% in May.
- The personal savings rate, as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 2.7%, down from 2.8% in May.
Big Picture
- The key takeaway from the report, taking into account Fed Chair Warsh's demonstrative statement that the Fed doesn't have a soft inflation target but a hard target of 2.0%, is that the PCE Price Index remains well above 2.0%.
| Category |
JUN |
MAY |
APR |
MAR |
FEB |
| Personal Income |
|
|
|
|
|
| Total Income |
0.2% |
0.7% |
0.1% |
0.5% |
0.0% |
| Wage and Salary |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
| Disposable Income |
0.2% |
0.7% |
0.0% |
0.5% |
-0.1% |
| Savings Rate |
2.7% |
2.8% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
3.8% |
| Personal Consumption |
|
|
|
|
|
| Total (Nominal) |
0.3% |
0.9% |
0.5% |
0.9% |
0.6% |
| Total (Real, Chain $) |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
| Core PCE Deflator |
|
|
|
|
|
| Month/Month |
0.1% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.4% |
| Year/Year |
3.3% |
3.4% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.0% |