Updated: 14-Sep-23 09:50 ET
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Updated: 14-Sep-23 09:50 ET |
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Highlights
- The August Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.7% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus 0.4%) following a 0.3% increase in July.
- The index for final demand, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% month-over-month, as expected.
- On a year-over-year basis, the index for final demand was up 1.6% and the index for final demand, excluding food and energy, was up 2.2%.
Key Factors
- The index for final demand services increased 0.2% in August.
- The 2.0% increase in prices for final demand goods was the biggest increase since June 2022.
- Prices for processed goods for intermediate demand jumped 2.1% in August, which was the biggest jump since May 2022.
- The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand rose 1.3% in August, paced by a 5.4% increase in prices for unprocessed energy materials.
Big Picture
- The key takeaway from the report is that 80% of the rise in final demand prices was attributed to a 2.0% jump in the index for final demand goods, which was driven by a 10.5% increase in prices fir final demand energy. That understanding softens the blow of the headline surprise for the index for final demand; however, until energy prices back down, concerns about rising inflation expectations and the Fed holding higher for longer will persist.
Category |
AUG |
JUL |
JUN |
MAY |
APR |
Final Demand |
0.7% |
0.4% |
-0.1% |
-0.3% |
0.2% |
Core (excluding ...) |
|
|
|
|
|
Food and Energy |
0.2% |
0.4% |
-0.1% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Food, Energy, and Trade |
0.3% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.2% |
Final Demand Goods |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
2.0% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
-1.5% |
0.1% |
Energy |
10.5% |
0.8% |
0.7% |
-6.9% |
0.7% |
Finished Goods |
2.1% |
0.3% |
0.3% |
-1.6% |
0.5% |
Final Demand Services |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
0.2% |
0.5% |
-0.1% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Trade |
-0.3% |
0.5% |
-1.1% |
0.7% |
0.4% |
Intermediate Demand |
|
|
|
|
|
Processed |
2.1% |
-0.3% |
-0.5% |
-1.5% |
-0.5% |
Unprocessed |
1.3% |
2.4% |
-1.0% |
-5.3% |
1.1% |
Services |
0.1% |
0.5% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
0.7% |