Updated: 15-May-25 10:15 ET
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Updated: 15-May-25 10:15 ET |
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Highlights
- The Producer Price Index for final demand decreased 0.5% month-over month in April (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%). That was the good news. The bad news is that the prior month was revised up to unchanged from a 0.4% decline.
- The Producer Price Index for final demand, less foods and energy, decreased 0.4% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%), again good news, but the bad news (again) is that the prior month was revised up to 0.4% from -0.1%.
- On a year-over-year basis, the index for final demand was up 2.4%, versus an upwardly revised 3.4% (from 2.7%) in March, while the index for final demand, less foods and energy, was up 3.1%, versus an upwardly revised 4.0% (from 3.3%) in March.
Key Factors
- The index for final demand goods was unchanged following a 0.9% decrease in March.
- The index for final demand services declined 0.7% in April, paced by a 1.6% drop in margins for final demand trade services.
- The index for processed goods for intermediate demand was up 0.2% in April after dipping 0.1% in March.
- The index for unprocessed goods for intermediate demand moved down 3.2% in April, with nearly 60% of the decline attributable to the 5.0% decrease in the index for unprocessed energy materials.
Big Picture
- The key takeaway from the report is that the big drop in the index for final demand was driven by a 0.7% decline in the index for final demand services (the largest decline since December 2009). Over 40% of that 0.7% decline was driven by margins for machinery and vehicle wholesaling, which dropped 6.1%. That suggests wholesalers were likely absorbing some tariff impacts, which is good for the end customer but not necessarily for earnings.
Category |
APR |
MAR |
FEB |
JAN |
DEC |
Final Demand |
-0.5% |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.7% |
0.5% |
Core (excluding ...) |
|
|
|
|
|
Food and Energy |
-0.4% |
0.4% |
0.2% |
0.6% |
0.4% |
Food, Energy, and Trade |
-0.1% |
0.2% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Final Demand Goods |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
0.0% |
-0.9% |
0.3% |
0.7% |
0.5% |
Energy |
-0.4% |
-3.8% |
-1.4% |
2.0% |
2.2% |
Finished Goods |
-0.1% |
-1.3% |
0.2% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
Final Demand Services |
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
-0.7% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.7% |
0.5% |
Trade |
-1.6% |
1.2% |
-0.7% |
1.2% |
0.5% |
Intermediate Demand |
|
|
|
|
|
Processed |
0.2% |
-0.1% |
0.4% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
Unprocessed |
-3.2% |
-3.4% |
0.6% |
5.7% |
2.9% |
Services |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
0.1% |
0.6% |