Updated: 15-Aug-25 09:41 ET
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Updated: 15-Aug-25 09:41 ET |
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Highlights
- The July Retail Sales Report was a good report that was made even better by the upward revisions to the prior month's data. Total retail sales increased 0.5% month-over-month, as expected, following an upwardly revised 0.9% increase (from 0.6%) in June.
- Excluding autos, retail sales increased 0.3% month-over-month, as expected, following an upwardly revised 0.8% increase (from 0.5%) in June.
Key Factors
- Motor vehicle and parts dealers sales increased 1.6% month-over-month following a 1.4% increase in June.
- Furniture and home furnishing store sales jumped 1.4% month-over-month following a 0.1% increase in June.
- Gasoline station sales rose 0.7% month-over-month following a 0.6% increase in June.
- Clothing and clothing accessories store sales advanced 0.7% month-over-month following a 1.1% increase in June.
- Nonstore retailer sales, aided by the extended Amazon Prime Day sale, increased 0.8% month-over-month following a 0.9% increase in June.
- Core retail sales were up a solid 0.5% month-over-month following a 0.9% increase in June.
Big Picture
- The key takeaway from the report, which isn't adjusted for inflation, is that it reflects a decent pace of consumer spending that isn't owed entirely to price increases; however, it does reveal a few points of spending caution, evidenced by the 0.6% decline in electronics and appliance stores, the 1.0% decline in building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers, and the 0.4% decline in food services and drinking places.
Category |
JUL |
JUN |
MAY |
APR |
MAR |
Retail Sales |
0.5% |
0.9% |
-0.8% |
-0.1% |
1.5% |
Excluding Autos |
0.3% |
0.8% |
-0.1% |
0.0% |
0.6% |
Durable goods |
|
|
|
|
|
Building Materials |
-1.0% |
1.3% |
-2.7% |
0.5% |
2.0% |
Autos/parts |
1.6% |
1.4% |
-3.8% |
-0.7% |
5.3% |
Furniture |
1.4% |
0.1% |
-0.5% |
0.0% |
0.1% |
Nondurable goods |
|
|
|
|
|
General Merchandise |
0.4% |
0.5% |
-0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Food |
0.5% |
0.8% |
-0.6% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Gasoline stations |
0.7% |
0.6% |
-0.7% |
-0.4% |
-2.8% |
Clothing |
0.7% |
1.1% |
0.5% |
0.2% |
1.1% |
e*retailing/non-store |
0.8% |
0.9% |
0.7% |
0.1% |
0.5% |