Briefing.com

Stock Market Update

Updated: 20-Aug-26

The market at 16:25 ET
Dow: -703.84...
Nasdaq: -263.92... S&P: -66.82...
NYSE Vol: 1.06 bln.. Adv: 918.. Dec: 1809
Nasdaq Vol: 8.29 bln.. Adv: 1726.. Dec: 3223
Moving the Market Sector Watch


--Rising oil prices as Trump threatens crippling economic sanctions against Iran

--Treasury yields rising after yesterday's easing

--Retailers under pressure following earnings from Walmart (WMT) 
Strong: Energy, Real Estate

Weak: Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Communication Services, Industrials, Financials, Utilities, Information Technology
16:25 ET Dow -703.84 at 52759.21, Nasdaq -263.92 at 26088.2, S&P -66.82 at 7641.16

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks steadily lost ground throughout Thursday's session, leaving the S&P 500 (-0.9%), Nasdaq Composite (-1.0%), and DJIA (-1.3%) at their session lows as rising oil prices, higher interest rates, and weakness across retail and mega-cap stocks weighed on the market.

The session represented a reversal of some of Wednesday's rate-relief trade. Yesterday's announcement that the Treasury Department will increase the size of its liquidity-support buybacks had helped push yields lower and supported a broad advance in equities, but some of that relief faded today as rates moved higher again.

Oil provided another source of pressure after President Trump threatened renewed economic measures against Iran. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent later added that he will hold a press conference Monday to discuss additional actions against the country, which he described as potentially the "greatest coordinated economic isolation in the history of the world." WTI crude continued its recent climb, settling $2.47 higher (+2.9%) at $88.15 per barrel.

The combination of higher rates and oil prices weighed particularly heavily on the consumer discretionary sector (-1.8%). Cruise lines, homebuilders, and apparel stocks were among the laggards, with the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF falling 2.5% as some of Wednesday's rate relief reversed. Advance Auto (AAP 42.39, -13.79, -24.55%) plunged following its earnings report and weighed on other auto-parts stocks.

Retail weakness extended to the consumer staples sector (-1.9%), which finished with one of the day's widest losses as Walmart (WMT 103.84, -10.46, -9.15%) sank following its earnings report, which featured a disappointing Q3 outlook.

Higher oil prices also contributed to weakness in the industrials sector (-1.2%), with airlines retreating as the jump in crude raised concerns about fuel costs. Defense stocks were another source of weakness as the U.S. emphasized economic measures against Iran, sending the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF down 3.6%. Still, Deere (DE 620.94, +40.31, +6.94%) and Nordson (NDSN 334.70, +24.78, +8.00%) provided notable pockets of post-earnings strength within the sector.

Selling was also pronounced in the health care sector (-1.9%). Moderna (MRNA 133.32, -41.06, -23.55%) gave back another portion of yesterday's massive rally following the positive cancer-vaccine results, while Intuitive Surgical (ISRG 374.48, -23.24, -5.84%) was another notable laggard.

Technology stocks held up considerably better. The information technology sector (-0.4%) posted one of the narrowest losses, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index gained 0.5% after two sessions of sharp declines. Memory stocks and several other chip names rebounded amid the pronounced swings that have characterized the group this week.

That semiconductor resilience did not extend to mega-cap growth stocks more broadly, however. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF fell 0.9%, adding pressure to the major averages as the session progressed.

By the close, the energy (+0.4%) and real estate (+0.2%) sectors were the only S&P 500 sectors to escape with gains.

Crypto-related stocks were also a bright spot, with Coinbase Global (COIN 172.35, +12.15, +7.58%) ranking among the S&P 500's best performers as President Trump's push for Congress to pass the CLARITY Act helped fuel a rally across crypto-linked stocks.

Weakness also extended beyond the large-cap benchmarks. The Russell 2000 (-1.3%) and S&P MidCap 400 (-0.9%) finished near their session lows as higher rates and oil prices weighed on the broader market.

Thursday's steady deterioration reflected a combination of macro and company-specific pressures. The reversal of some of Wednesday's rate relief and a nearly 3% jump in oil prices created a difficult backdrop, while weakness following several retail earnings reports added to the selling. Semiconductor stocks provided a rare pocket of strength, but that was not enough to offset weakness across mega-cap stocks and an increasingly broad retreat that left the major averages at their worst levels of the day.

U.S. Treasuries retreated on Thursday with the long bond giving back the bulk of its gain that was recorded after the U.S. Treasury announced an increase to its maximum buybacks of longer tenors. The 2-year note yield settled up one basis point to 4.19%, and the 10-year note yield settled up four basis points to 4.70%. 

  • Russell 2000: +20.6% YTD
  • S&P Mid Cap 400: +15.3% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite: +12.2% YTD
  • S&P 500: +11.6% YTD
  • DJIA: +9.8% YTD

Reviewing today's data:

  • August Philadelphia Fed Index 47.4 (Briefing.com consensus 25.0); Prior 41.4
  • Weekly Initial Claims 206K (Briefing.com consensus 206K); Prior was revised to 212K from 209K, Weekly Continuing Claims 1.799 mln; Prior was revised to 1.781 mln from 1.777 mln
    • The key takeaway from the report is that even with the increase in four-week moving averages for initial and continuing claims, overall levels are not setting off alarm bells concerning increased layoff activity.
  • July Leading Economic Index 0.2% (Briefing.com consensus -0.1%); Prior was revised to -0.1% from -0.2%
..NYSE Adv/Dec 918/1809. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1726/3223.
15:35 ET Dow -665.22 at 52797.83, Nasdaq -243.84 at 26108.28, S&P -56.84 at 7651.14

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (-0.8%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.9%), and DJIA (-1.3%) are tracking for a firmly lower finish.

Crude oil futures settled today's session $2.47 higher (+2.9%) at $88.15 per barrel, adding to the more hostile backdrop for equities today. Crude is now up over 5% week-to-date heading into Friday's action.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 911/1746. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1556/2823.
14:55 ET Dow -632.64 at 52830.41, Nasdaq -270.81 at 26081.31, S&P -53.64 at 7654.34

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages remain pressured going into the final hour of today's trade with the S&P 500 (-0.7%) widening this week's loss to 1.7%.

This week was fairly quiet in terms of economic data and it will end that way with tomorrow's docket limited to the flash S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI (prior 53.9) and flash S&P Global U.S. Services PMI (prior 54.6) at 9:45 ET.

However, things will pick up in the middle of next week with the market scheduled to receive July Personal Income (prior 0.2%), Personal Spending (prior 0.3%), PCE Prices (prior -0.1%), and Core PCE Prices (prior 0.1%). That report will be released alongside the second estimate of Q2 GDP (prior 1.5%) and July Durable Orders (prior 0.3%) and Durable Orders ex-transportation (prior 0.6%).

Like stocks, Treasuries are on course for a lower finish with the 10-yr yield up five basis points at 4.70%.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 961/1781. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1689/3222.
14:25 ET Dow -611.84 at 52851.21, Nasdaq -281.36 at 26070.76, S&P -53.35 at 7654.63

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages trade on their lows with the Nasdaq (-1.1%) approaching its 50-day moving average (25930).

Equities have faced steady pressure throughout the day amid losses in most sectors. Eight groups trade in the red at this time with five down at least 1.0% and the consumer discretionary sector (-1.8%) showing the widest loss.

Health care (-1.1%) is also among the soft spots today as biotech names run into some quick profit taking after yesterday's Moderna (MRNA 133.76, -40.62, -23.29%) driven surge. Shares of MRNA are down about 40 points from yesterday's high while the SPDR S&P Biotechnology ETF (XBI 163.44, -6.11, -3.60%) has pulled back from its best level since February 2021.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 951/1789. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1689/3194.
14:05 ET Dow -580.85 at 52882.2, Nasdaq -260.22 at 26091.9, S&P -48.75 at 7659.23

[BRIEFING.COM] Not much has changed for the stock market so far this afternoon, with the S&P 500 (-0.6%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.9%), and DJIA (-1.0%) steadily charting session lows.

Unlike yesterday's session, the information technology sector (-0.2%) is not the main culprit in today's weakness. However, CrowdStrike (CRWD 191.88, -9.75, -4.84%) is one of the worst-performing S&P 500 components following news that its CTO Elia Zaitse is departing the company to launch an AI-focused cyber venture fund, according to Axios.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 909/1712. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1454/2783.
13:35 ET Dow -523.44 at 52939.61, Nasdaq -253.74 at 26098.38, S&P -43.29 at 7664.69

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages sit at their session lows early in the afternoon.

While weakness is broad today, Coinbase Global (COIN 173.05, +12.85, +8.02%), Circle Internet Group (CRCL 84.07, +5.48, +6.97%), Strategy Inc (MSTR 111.75, +7.50, +7.19%), Bullish (BLSH 28.13, +1.21, +4.49%), and MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA 10.78, +1.13, +11.71%) are trading sharply higher as President Trump's push for Congress to pass the CLARITY Act fuels a broader rally in Bitcoin and crypto-linked equities. The legislation would create a federal market structure for digital assets, clarify when tokens are treated as commodities or securities, and divide oversight responsibilities more clearly between the CFTC and SEC.

Bitcoin continues to move higher this week, up over 5% today as it approaches the $73,000 mark.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 923/1689. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1414/2806.
13:05 ET Dow -429.37 at 53033.68, Nasdaq -193.91 at 26158.21, S&P -29.00 at 7678.98

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (-0.3%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.7%), and DJIA (-0.8%) are lower shortly after midday as rising oil prices, renewed pressure from higher interest rates, and weakness across retail and mega-cap stocks weigh on the market.

Oil is one of the more notable influences today, with crude prices climbing after President Trump threatened renewed economic measures against Iran. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added to the geopolitical focus, telling CNBC that he will hold a press conference Monday to discuss additional actions against Iran, which he described as potentially the "greatest coordinated economic isolation in the history of the world."

Bessent also said Treasury buybacks could exceed the $4 billion amount announced yesterday. The initial announcement provided a meaningful boost to Treasuries and stocks on Wednesday as yields retreated, but some of that rate relief is reversing today. Treasury yields are moving higher alongside another rise in oil prices, creating a more challenging backdrop for rate-sensitive and consumer-oriented stocks.

The consumer discretionary sector (-1.4%) is among the weakest performers, with cruise lines, homebuilders, and apparel stocks all under pressure.

The consumer staples sector (-1.2%) holds a similar loss following a disappointing response to Walmart (WMT 104.22, -10.08, -8.82%) earnings report. Outside the S&P 500, Advance Auto (AAP 41.64, -14.54, -25.87%) is plunging following its quarterly results, helping send the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF down 2.1%.

The weakness in retail contributes to a generally negative tone beneath the surface, with decliners outpacing advancers by roughly 3-to-2 on the NYSE and 2-to-1 on the Nasdaq.

The health care sector (-0.7%) is another laggard as Moderna (MRNA 129.68, -44.70, -25.64%) gives back some of yesterday's extraordinary gain. The stock is down by double digits today after more than doubling Wednesday following positive results for its experimental cancer vaccine with Merck (MRK 151.58, -0.62, -0.41%).

Technology has been comparatively resilient despite weakness across several mega-cap stocks. The information technology sector is little changed, while the PHLX Semiconductor Index (+0.3%) has oscillated between gains and losses following two consecutive sessions of sharp declines.

Still, the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is down 0.5%, contributing to the Nasdaq's underperformance. Energy (+0.9%) is the clear sector leader as crude prices extend their recent advance.

The materials (+0.4%) and real estate (+0.4%) sectors are the only other S&P 500 sectors holding gains, underscoring the generally weak tone across the broader market.

The pressure is also evident outside the large-cap benchmarks. The Russell 2000 (-1.2%) is underperforming as higher rates weigh particularly heavily on smaller companies, while the S&P MidCap 400 (-0.5%) holds a more modest loss.

Overall, the market is contending with several headwinds at once after yesterday's broadening-out advance. Renewed concerns surrounding Iran have pushed oil prices higher, the reversal of some of Wednesday's rate relief is weighing on rate-sensitive groups, and disappointing reactions to several retail earnings reports have added company-specific pressure, leaving the major averages and broader market mostly lower at midday.

Reviewing today's data:

  • August Philadelphia Fed Index 47.4 (Briefing.com consensus 25.0); Prior 41.4
  • Weekly Initial Claims 206K (Briefing.com consensus 206K); Prior was revised to 212K from 209K, Weekly Continuing Claims 1.799 mln; Prior was revised to 1.781 mln from 1.777 mln
    • The key takeaway from the report is that even with the increase in four-week moving averages for initial and continuing claims, overall levels are not setting off alarm bells concerning increased layoff activity.
  • July Leading Economic Index 0.2% (Briefing.com consensus -0.1%); Prior was revised to -0.1% from -0.2%
..NYSE Adv/Dec 959/1659. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1427/2755.
12:30 ET Dow -473.88 at 52989.17, Nasdaq -232.84 at 26119.28, S&P -34.95 at 7673.03

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (-0.4%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.8%), and DJIA (-0.9%) are little changed from previous levels, with the indexes continuing to face broad pressure today.

Advance Auto (AAP 41.95, -14.23, -25.33%) is under heavy pressure following its Q2 results this morning. After a strong Q1 that supported AAP's improving turnaround narrative, Q2 marks a step back, and with shares up sharply YTD into the report, the disappointment is likely contributing to today's outsized move. The pressure was concentrated in DIY, where demand weakened more than expected late in the quarter, while Pro held up better and remained in line with expectations. The headline EPS beat was driven by tariff refunds, while revenue and comp sales came in soft. There were still some encouraging signs, including reaffirmed operating guidance, solid underlying margin expansion excluding the tariff benefit, and continued progress across AAP's supply chain and market hub initiatives. Early Q3 trends have also improved from the Q2 exit rate, particularly transactions, providing some support for the maintained +1-2% comp outlook. However, with management still expecting greater DIY pressure in 2H than previously anticipated, AAP will need to show that it can deliver the improvement required to achieve its full-year guidance.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 969/1634. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1334/2612.
11:55 ET Dow -449.29 at 53013.76, Nasdaq -232.59 at 26119.53, S&P -30.22 at 7677.76

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages continue to move lower at midday.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC that he will hold a press conference on Monday to discuss additional economic actions against Iran, which he described as potentially the "greatest coordinated economic isolation in the history of the world." Bessent also said Treasury buybacks could exceed the $4 billion amount announced yesterday.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 974/1595. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1308/2767.
11:30 ET Dow -340.28 at 53122.77, Nasdaq -217.22 at 26134.9, S&P -21.89 at 7686.09

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (-0.3%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.8%), and DJIA (-0.6%) are lower just before midday as stocks contend with a combination of pressures following yesterday's modest advance.

U.S. Treasuries are moving higher today after yesterday's announcement that the Treasury Department will increase its buyback limits provided some relief across the complex. Another spike in oil prices is providing a competing source of pressure, with crude currently up $2.05 (+2.4%) to $86.43 per barrel after President Trump threatened renewed economic measures against Iran.

Stocks are trending mostly lower as a result, with decliners outpacing advancers by roughly 3-to-2 on the NYSE and 2-to-1 on the Nasdaq. Seven S&P 500 sectors trade lower, with retailers under pressure following earnings reports from Advance Auto (AAP 43.20, -12.98, -23.10%) and Walmart (WMT 103.63, -10.67, -9.34%), leaving the consumer staples (-1.6%) and consumer discretionary (-1.6%) sectors at the bottom of the standings.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 993/1545. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1389/2612.
11:00 ET Dow -281.29 at 53181.76, Nasdaq -174.20 at 26177.92, S&P -17.29 at 7690.69

[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages are off their worst levels of the session as technology stocks begin to lend some support.

The PHLX Semiconductor Index (+0.7%) now holds a decent gain after two consecutive sharply lower finishes. Memory names such as Seagate Tech (STX 860.98, +28.42, +3.41%) and electrical product names such as Lumentum (LITE 859.99, +32.39, +3.91%) , both of which have experienced elevated volatility this week, are now among the top-performing S&P 500 components.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1054/1484. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1309/2660.
10:35 ET Dow -346.48 at 53116.57, Nasdaq -147.22 at 26204.9, S&P -24.93 at 7683.05

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (-0.3%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.7%), and DJIA (-0.7%) have settled into a relatively stable trading range this morning.

Walmart (WMT 103.72, -10.58, -9.26%) is heading sharply lower following its Q2 (Jul) report this morning. Walmart's underlying business remains healthy, but today's weakness reflects a meaningful disconnect between a strong Q2 headline and a disappointing forward outlook. The EPS and revenue beats were solid, but the Q2 earnings upside benefited from tariff refunds, which likely limits the durability investors assign to the beat. At the same time, the Walmart US comp of +2.6% was lackluster relative to recent quarters. While management continues to point to healthy core merchandise trends, transaction growth, widening price gaps, and ongoing market-share gains, investors appear more focused on the combination of softer US comps and the sharp deceleration embedded in Q3 guidance. The aggressive price investment is strategically positive for long-term share gains, but it also creates near-term pressure as Walmart responds to a consumer that is becoming more sensitive to higher fuel prices. After Target's (TGT 159.17, +0.17, +0.11%) stronger report yesterday, Walmart's softer US trends and disappointing Q3 outlook are likely to be viewed as a letdown.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 832/1706. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1171/2657.
10:05 ET Dow -375.28 at 53087.77, Nasdaq -194.28 at 26157.84, S&P -28.91 at 7679.07

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (-0.4%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.7%), and DJIA (-0.7%) are lower just after the open as rising oil prices and Treasury yields create a more hostile environment for stocks after yesterday's gains.

WTI crude oil is up $2.02 (+2.4%) to $86.41, pushing the energy sector (+1.4%) higher while weighing on oil-sensitive pockets of the market. Cruise lines are unsurprisingly among this cohort, while rising Treasury yields also put pressure on homebuilder names, with both groups pressuring the consumer discretionary sector (-1.2%).

Meanwhile, the consumer staples sector (-1.6%) holds the widest loss as Walmart (WMT 104.01, -10.29, -9.00%) moves sharply lower after issuing a disappointing Q3 outlook with its earnings release this morning.

Moderna (MRNA 143.23, -31.15, -17.86%) is making the largest single-stock move today, though the double-digit retreat pales in comparison to yesterday's over 100% surge.

Just released, the Leading Economic Index increased 0.2% in July (Briefing.com consensus -0.1%), from an upwardly revised 0.1% decrease (from -0.2%).

..NYSE Adv/Dec /. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec /.
09:09 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -32.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -136.00.

Equity futures continue to point lower as rising oil and Treasury yields threaten to erase yesterday's modest gains at the open. 

Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 15 decreased by 6,000 to 206,000 (Briefing.com consensus 206,000) from last week's revised total of 212,000 (revised from 209,000). Continuing jobless claims for the week ending August 8 increased by 18,000 to 1.799 million from last week's revised total of 1.781 million (from 1.777 million).

The key takeaway from the report is that even with the increase in four-week moving averages for initial and continuing claims, overall levels are not setting off alarm bells concerning increased layoff activity.

09:03 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -30.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -136.00.

The S&P 500 futures currently trade 30 points below fair value. 

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a higher note with South Korea's Kospi (+5.9%) recovering its loss from Wednesday. Japanese debt extended its rebound from Wednesday after the U.S. Treasury announced an increase to its maximum buybacks of longer-dated Treasuries. On a related note, Nikkei reported that Japan may implement tax incentives for retail JGB investors. SK Hynix is reportedly joining Samsung in raising prices of its products by up to 15%. The People's Bank of China left its one-year and five-year loan prime rates at their respective 3.00% and 3.50%. Bank Indonesia left its policy rate at 5.75%, as expected.

  • In economic data:
    • Japan's July trade deficit JPY634.5 bln (expected deficit of JPY680 bln; last deficit of JPY409.9 bln). July Imports 27.8% yr/yr (expected 26.5%; last 25.4%) and Exports 23.2% yr/yr (expected 19.9%; last 19.3%)
    • Hong Kong's July CPI 0.2% m/m (last 0.0%); 1.7% yr/yr, as expected (last 2.0%). July Unemployment Rate 3.7% (last 3.7%)
    • Australia's August MI Inflation Expectations 4.9% (last 4.7%). July Employment Change -15,800 (expected 11,700; last 80,200), July full Employment Change 16,300 (last 48,900). July Unemployment Rate 4.5% (expected 4.4%; last 4.4%) and Participation Rate 66.9%, as expected (last 67.0%)

---Equity Markets---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +1.4%
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.8%
  • China's Shanghai Composite: +0.2%
  • India's Sensex: +0.8%
  • South Korea's Kospi: +5.9%
  • Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.5%

Major European indices trade on a mostly lower note while Italy's MIB (+0.3%) outperforms slightly. A tanker was reportedly hijacked in the Gulf of Aden, adding to the list of shipping difficulties in the Middle East. Sweden's central bank left its policy rate at 1.75% but added that the rate is likely to be raised later in the year. German bunds are modestly higher even though PPI accelerated to 3.0% in July from 1.8% in June.

  • In economic data:
    • Eurozone's June Construction Output -1.34% m/m (last 0.19%)
    • Germany's July PPI 1.1% m/m (expected 0.5%; last -0.3%); 3.0% yr/yr (expected 2.7%; last 1.8%)
    • U.K.'s August CBI Industrial Trends Orders -25 (expected -40; last -45)
    • Swiss July trade surplus CHF8.73 bln (last surplus of CHF5.049 bln)

---Equity Markets---

  • STOXX Europe 600: -0.3%
  • Germany's DAX: -0.6% 
  • U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.3%
  • France's CAC 40: -0.5%
  • Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.1%
  • Spain's IBEX 35: -0.2%
08:38 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -47.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -238.00.

The S&P 500 futures currently trade 47 points below fair value.

Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 15 decreased by 6,000 to 206,000 (Briefing.com consensus: 206,000) from an upwardly revised prior level of 212,000 (from 209,000).

Continuing jobless claims for the week ending August 8 increased by 18,000 to 1.799 million from an upwardly revised prior level of 1.781 million (from 1.777 million).

The Philadelphia Fed Index expanded to 47.4% in August (Briefing.com consensus 25.0), up from the prior level of 41.4.

08:04 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -34.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -173.00.

Equity futures point to a lower opening this morning after the major averages finished with modest gains yesterday, supported by broad strength. The market saw some relief in long-dated Treasury yields after the Treasury announced it would increase long-end liquidity buybacks by at least double.

That helped offset another bounce in oil prices, though rising crude is weighing on the market this morning. Crude oil is currently up $2.85 (+3.4%) to $87.24 per barrel after President Trump said on Truth Social that Iran will be hit with "the most crushing economic operation ever taken against any country."

Separately, semiconductor stocks, which limited gains at the index level yesterday, continue to move lower in the premarket this morning.

Today's data slate will include the release of Weekly Initial Claims (Briefing.com consensus 206,000; prior 209,000), Continuing Claims (prior 1.777 mln), and August Philadelphia Fed Survey (Briefing.com consensus 25.0; prior 41.4) at 8:30 ET.

In corporate news:

  • OpenAI paused AI training for two weeks amid security issues, according to The Wall Street Journal.
  •  Deere (DE 583.01, +2.38, +0.4%) beat EPS expectations by $0.41 and beat revenue expectations.
  • Walmart (WMT 107.44, -6.86, -6.0%) beat EPS expectations by $0.07, reported revenues in-line, saw comparable sales grow 2.6%, and guided Q3 EPS below consensus while raising FY27 EPS and net sales growth guidance.

Reviewing overnight developments:

Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Thursday on a higher note with South Korea's Kospi (+5.9%) recovering its loss from Wednesday. Japan's Nikkei: +1.4%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.8%, China's Shanghai Composite: +0.2%, India's Sensex: +0.8%, South Korea's Kospi: +5.9%, Australia's ASX All Ordinaries: +0.5%.

In news:

  • Japanese debt extended its rebound from Wednesday after the U.S. Treasury announced an increase to its maximum buybacks of longer-dated Treasuries.
  • On a related note, Nikkei reported that Japan may implement tax incentives for retail JGB investors.
  • SK Hynix is reportedly joining Samsung in raising prices of its products by up to 15%.
  • The People's Bank of China left its one-year and five-year loan prime rates at their respective 3.00% and 3.50%.
  • Bank Indonesia left its policy rate at 5.75%, as expected.

In economic data:

  • Japan's July trade deficit JPY634.5 bln (expected deficit of JPY680 bln; last deficit of JPY409.9 bln). July Imports 27.8% yr/yr (expected 26.5%; last 25.4%) and Exports 23.2% yr/yr (expected 19.9%; last 19.3%)
  • Hong Kong's July CPI 0.2% m/m (last 0.0%); 1.7% yr/yr, as expected (last 2.0%). July Unemployment Rate 3.7% (last 3.7%)
  • Australia's August MI Inflation Expectations 4.9% (last 4.7%). July Employment Change -15,800 (expected 11,700; last 80,200), July full Employment Change 16,300 (last 48,900). July Unemployment Rate 4.5% (expected 4.4%; last 4.4%) and Participation Rate 66.9%, as expected (last 67.0%)

Major European indices trade on a mostly lower note while Italy's MIB (+0.3%) outperforms slightly. STOXX Europe 600: -0.1%, Germany's DAX: -0.5%, U.K.'s FTSE 100: -0.2%, France's CAC 40: -0.3%, Italy's FTSE MIB: +0.3%, Spain's IBEX 35: +0.1%. 

In news:

  • A tanker was reportedly hijacked in the Gulf of Aden, adding to the list of shipping difficulties in the Middle East.
  • Sweden's central bank left its policy rate at 1.75% but added that the rate is likely to be raised later in the year.
  • German bunds are modestly higher even though PPI accelerated to 3.0% in July from 1.8% in June.

In economic data:

  • Eurozone's June Construction Output -1.34% m/m (last 0.19%)
  • Germany's July PPI 1.1% m/m (expected 0.5%; last -0.3%); 3.0% yr/yr (expected 2.7%; last 1.8%)
  • U.K.'s August CBI Industrial Trends Orders -25 (expected -40; last -45)
  • Swiss July trade surplus CHF8.73 bln (last surplus of CHF5.049 bln)
05:45 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: -5.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +42.00.
05:45 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] Nikkei...66216.79...+890.40...+1.40%.  Hang Seng...25698.49...+217.20...+0.90%.
05:45 ET Market is Closed
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16:30 ET Dow +119.65 at 53463.05, Nasdaq +41.38 at 26352.12, S&P +16.22 at 7707.98

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks finished modestly higher on Wednesday, but the relatively small gains in the major averages understated a much stronger showing across several areas of the broader market. The S&P 500 (+0.2%), Nasdaq Composite (+0.2%), and DJIA (+0.2%) advanced in unison, while the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index (+1.0%) comfortably outperformed as rate-sensitive groups and a number of stocks with company-specific catalysts rallied.

The session got an early boost after the U.S. Department of the Treasury announced that it will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for longer-dated nominal securities beginning September 9. The announcement provided some relief from the elevated long-term yields that have pressured equities recently and helped fuel a rebound across rate-sensitive areas of the market.

Homebuilders were among the biggest beneficiaries, with the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF jumping 3.1%. Strength across retailers and mega-cap names provided additional support to the consumer discretionary sector (+2.1%), with Target (TGT 159.03, +6.56, +4.30%) and Lowe's (LOW 220.71, +5.07, +2.35%) advancing following their earnings reports while Amazon (AMZN 265.84, +6.39, +2.46%) and Tesla (TSLA 351.12, +14.25, +4.23%) rebounded from recent weakness.

The health care sector (+3.5%) was the clear sector leader following positive results for an experimental cancer vaccine from Moderna (MRNA 174.38, +111.42, +176.97%) and Merck (MRK 152.22, +17.05, +12.61%). Moderna more than doubled in value and Merck posted a double-digit gain, helping send the iShares Biotechnology ETF up 6.6%.

The materials sector (+1.7%) was another standout as higher precious metals prices supported Newmont Corporation (NEM 125.08, +9.10, +7.85%) and other mining stocks.

Seven S&P 500 sectors ultimately finished higher, highlighting the broad participation beneath the relatively modest gains in the headline averages. That divergence was largely a product of continued weakness across semiconductor stocks. The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 2.1%, extending yesterday's steep decline and weighing heavily on the information technology sector (-0.7%). Semiconductor-related electrical equipment names also remained under pressure, contributing to the industrials sector's (-0.9%) underperformance.

The afternoon release of the FOMC minutes provided a reminder that additional monetary tightening remains a possibility. Most participants supported keeping rates unchanged at the latest meeting, though several favored a 25-basis-point increase and many judged that further tightening would likely be necessary if inflation fails to decline. Stocks also absorbed another increase in oil prices. WTI crude settled $0.80 higher (+0.9%) at $85.68 per barrel, continuing its recent climb but failing to derail the broader advance.

Wednesday's session ultimately featured a notable broadening in participation following the technology-driven weakness earlier in the week. Rate-sensitive stocks, health care, materials, and several earnings-related movers provided strong leadership, allowing the equal-weight S&P 500 to substantially outperform even as another sharp decline in semiconductor stocks kept the headline averages' gains relatively modest.

U.S. Treasuries had a mixed showing on Wednesday, as the 10 year and 30-year note yields added to their gains from Tuesday while shorter tenors finished flat after retreating from a higher start. The 2-year note yield finished unchanged at 4.18%, and the 10-year note yield settled down five basis points to 4.65%. 

  • Russell 2000: +22.2% YTD
  • S&P Mid Cap 400: +16.3% YTD
  • Nasdaq Composite: +13.3% YTD
  • S&P 500: +12.6% YTD
  • DJIA: +11.2% YTD

Reviewing today's data:

  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Index was down 0.4% after rising 3.6% a week ago. The Purchase Index was down 2.0% while the Refinance Index rose 1.5%.
..NYSE Adv/Dec 1755/996. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2878/2079.

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