Stock Market Update
Updated: 30-Sep-26
| The market at 16:20 ET | ||
| Dow: -443.87... Nasdaq: +63.52... S&P: -19.30... |
NYSE Vol: 1.51 bln..
Adv: 997..
Dec: 1734 Nasdaq Vol: 8.82 bln.. Adv: 2083.. Dec: 2357 |
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| Moving the Market | Sector Watch | |
--Better-than-feared PCE Price Index print this morning, though inflation remains above target, keeping yields elevated --Solid leadership from mega-cap stocks, though semiconductors mixed --Weakening participation in the broader market |
Strong: Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary Weak: Real Estate, Industrials, Health Care, Consumer Staples, Utilities, Financials, Materials |
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| 16:20 ET | Dow -443.87 at 50905.96, Nasdaq +63.52 at 26882.1, S&P -19.30 at 7651.64 |
[BRIEFING.COM] Wednesday's session ended on a decidedly weaker note after a sharp final-hour selloff erased earlier gains, putting an exclamation point on a September marked by increasingly narrow market leadership. The S&P 500 (-0.3%) and DJIA (-0.9%) finished near their session lows, while the Nasdaq Composite (+0.2%) held onto a slim gain despite giving back most of an earlier 1.0% advance. The reversal left the S&P 500 down 0.5% for September and the DJIA down 4.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite still finished the month with a 1.9% gain. That divergence reflected one of the defining features of September: strength in mega-cap growth and AI-related stocks contrasted with considerably weaker performance across much of the broader market. That pattern was evident again for much of today's session. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF rose 0.4% and finished September up 3.2%, while the information technology sector (+0.6%) was the day's best-performing sector and gained 4.4% for the month. Software stocks were particularly strong, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) gaining 1.2%. Semiconductor stocks were little changed today, leaving the PHLX Semiconductor Index flat, but the group was one of September's clear standouts with a 9.5% monthly gain. Micron (MU 1065.11, +0.03, +0.00%) will put that strength back in focus when it reports earnings after today's close, with investors looking for indications that strong memory pricing and AI-related demand can continue to support growth as capital spending rises. There were several pronounced moves elsewhere in the technology landscape. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE 63.89, +2.40, +3.90%) was a standout after raising its Networking outlook and increasing its expected Juniper cost synergies ahead of its Networking Investor Day. Jabil (JBL 286.76, -32.08, -10.06%), meanwhile, was among the session's weakest stocks despite better-than-expected results and an upbeat outlook, as elevated expectations surrounding its AI-driven growth prospects tempered the response. The communication services sector (flat) surrendered a sizable earlier gain as Meta Platforms (META 725.18, -13.61, -1.84%) and Alphabet (GOOG 340.74, +3.42, +1.01%) sold off sharply into the close, contributing to the broader market's late retreat. Still, the sector gained 4.3% in September. The consumer discretionary sector (+0.1%) was the only other S&P 500 sector to finish above its flat line today, supported by strength in Amazon (AMZN 249.15, +2.48, +1.01%). Weakness was much more pronounced elsewhere by the close. The consumer staples sector (-1.7%) finished at the bottom of the standings, followed by the health care (-1.4%), industrials (-1.3%), and financials (-1.2%) sectors. Moderna (MRNA 192.57, -10.89, -5.35%) was a notable laggard in the health care sector after being downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup. Breadth deteriorated substantially as the session progressed, with decliners ultimately outpacing advancers by roughly 9-to-5 on the NYSE and by a slim margin on the Nasdaq. The Russell 2000 (-0.3%) and S&P Mid Cap 400 (-0.5%) also finished lower, extending their September losses to 5.3% and 4.3%, respectively. Their monthly declines stand in sharp contrast to the gains for mega-cap growth, technology, and semiconductor stocks and underscore just how concentrated the market's September leadership became. Earlier support came from slightly cooler-than-expected inflation data. The August PCE Price Index increased 0.3% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.4%), while the core PCE Price Index rose 0.2% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.3%). The data increased expectations for the Fed to leave rates unchanged at its October meeting, although Treasury yields remained elevated and provided little relief for the broader market as inflation still remains firmly above the Fed's target. Crude oil also moved higher after yesterday's sharp decline, settling $1.28 higher (+1.4%) at $90.54 per barrel. CNBC reported that crude oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz have returned to pre-war levels, although refined-product flows remain constrained. Ultimately, the final session of the third quarter captured many of the trends that defined September. Mega-cap growth, technology, and AI-related stocks produced substantial gains, but that strength was accompanied by significant weakness across smaller companies and many areas of the broader market. Wednesday's late selloff only sharpened that contrast, leaving the Nasdaq higher for the month even as the S&P 500, DJIA, Russell 2000, and S&P Mid Cap 400 all finished September in negative territory. U.S. Treasuries gave participants a head fake today when yields moved quickly lower following some better-than-feared PCE inflation data in the August Personal Income and Spending report at 8:30 a.m. ET. The realization that a 3.4% PCE inflation rate (3.0% for core) is still well above the Fed's 2.0% target soon set in, however, and that initial move was unwound. The 2-year note yield finished unchanged at 4.89% (+55 basis points this month), and the 10-year note yield settled up four basis points to 5.30% (+56 basis points this month).
Reviewing today's data:
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| 15:30 ET | Dow -236.94 at 51112.89, Nasdaq +224.94 at 27043.52, S&P +22.12 at 7693.06 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.3%) is looking to close in positive month-to-date territory (+0.1% month-to-date) by holding on to today's modest gain. The DJIA (-0.4%) is on pace for a sizable retreat (-3.9% month-to-date), while the Nasdaq Composite (+0.9%) holds a sturdy 2.5% month-to-date gain. Much of the Nasdaq's outperformance this month can be attributed to strength in mega-cap stocks (the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is up 3.7% month-to-date) and semiconductor stocks (the PHLX Semiconductor Index is up 9.7% month-to-date). Semiconductor names will come into focus after the close as Micron (MU 1070.48, +5.40, +0.51%) is set to report earnings, heading into its Q4 report with elevated expectations, as revenue consensus of $51.33 bln exceeds its guidance ceiling and investors look for gross margin near the approximately 86% forecast. The FY27 first-quarter outlook, HBM and data-center SSD growth, and strategic customer agreement disclosures will help determine whether strong memory pricing and profitability can endure as capital spending rises. Micron's Q4 report will hinge on whether its FY27 outlook supports continued earnings growth as pricing gains moderate and expectations remain elevated. Strategic customer agreements could strengthen revenue visibility and protect profitability through a future downturn, although their price ceilings may temper upside if memory shortages intensify. The key test is whether HBM and data-center SSD growth can sustain strong margins and free cash flow as capital spending rises, while capacity additions and softer PC and mobile demand complicate the longer-term supply-demand balance. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1132/1525. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2140/2220. |
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| 15:05 ET | Dow -216.43 at 51133.4, Nasdaq +239.55 at 27058.13, S&P +25.12 at 7696.06 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.3%) and Nasdaq Composite (+0.9%) remain higher, though off their best levels of the session, while the DJIA (-0.4%) is charting session lows this afternoon. Crude oil futures settled today's session $1.28 higher (+1.4%) at $90.54 per barrel. CNBC reports that crude oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz have reached pre-war levels, but refined products remain constrained. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1148/1528. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2113/2227. |
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| 14:30 ET | Dow -182.52 at 51167.31, Nasdaq +225.07 at 27043.65, S&P +23.00 at 7693.94 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.30%) is in second place this afternoon, up about 23 points. Briefly, S&P 500 constituents ServiceNow (NOW 134.24, +4.30, +3.31%), Huntington Ingalls (HII 267.49, +7.85, +3.02%), and Accenture (ACN 182.30, +5.18, +2.92%) dot the top of the standings. ACN rises as UBS highlights strong AI-alliance bookings with NVIDIA, OpenAI and Palantir, suggesting AI is driving growth rather than disintermediating its core business ahead of earnings, while HII gains after it was awarded a $5.1 billion overhaul contract for the USS Harry S. Truman, alongside the start of the work and a new 10-vessel unmanned Navy award, reinforcing strong backlog and demand visibility. Meanwhile, Moderna (MRNA 191.63, -11.83, -5.81%) falls after Citigroup downgrade their view on the stock to Sell citing valuation and aggressive oncology assumptions. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1108/1644. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2388/2470. |
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| 14:00 ET | Dow -92.39 at 51257.44, Nasdaq +251.78 at 27070.36, S&P +34.20 at 7705.14 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (+0.94%) is atop the major averages, up about 252 points. Gold futures settled $7 higher (+0.2%) at $4,186.70/oz, as softer inflation data and dovish Fed expectations pressured the dollar and reduced expectations for near-term rate hikes. Lower rates and a weaker dollar supported bullion, though elevated Treasury yields remained a headwind. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index is up less than +0.1% to $101.42. |
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| 13:30 ET | Dow -137.75 at 51212.08, Nasdaq +195.24 at 27013.82, S&P +26.76 at 7697.7 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.27%) is down about 138 points this afternoon, the only major average in the red. A look inside the DJIA shows that Sherwin-Williams (SHW 322.66, -7.78, -2.35%), Merck (MRK 146.71, -2.57, -1.72%), and Visa (V 359.82, -6.06, -1.66%) are some of today's top decliners. Meanwhile, Alphabet (GOOGL 350.30, +9.38, +2.75%) rises to the top of the average. The DJIA is now -1.19% lower week-to-date. |
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| 12:55 ET | Dow -61.82 at 51288.01, Nasdaq +251.93 at 27070.51, S&P +36.45 at 7707.39 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.5%) and Nasdaq Composite (+0.9%) hold solid gains at midday, supported by continued strength in mega-cap technology stocks, while weaker participation across the broader market has left the DJIA (-0.1%) slightly lower. Stocks received an early boost from slightly cooler-than-expected inflation readings in the August Personal Income and Spending report. The PCE Price Index increased 0.3% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.4%), while the core PCE Price Index rose 0.2% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.3%). Expectations for the Fed to leave rates unchanged at the October FOMC meeting have increased in response, with the CME FedWatch Tool now assigning a 60.7% probability to that outcome, up from 49.1% yesterday and 29.1% a week ago. The inflation data has done little to ease pressure in the Treasury market, however, with the 10-year note yield up three basis points to 5.29%. Meanwhile, the positive breadth seen shortly after the open has faded. The Russell 2000 (-0.1%) and S&P Mid Cap 400 (-0.1%) have also slipped into negative territory, reinforcing the relatively narrow nature of today's advance. Mega-cap stocks remain the primary source of support. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is up 0.9%, with Alphabet (GOOG 347.60, +10.28, +3.05%) and Apple (AAPL 336.57, +7.17, +2.18%) among the standout gainers. Their strength has helped propel the communication services (+1.8%) and information technology (+1.1%) sectors to the top of the standings. Notably, those are currently the only two S&P 500 sectors on pace to finish September with month-to-date gains. Strength within the technology space is not uniform. NVIDIA (NVDA 230.29, +3.08, +1.35%) is among the mega-cap gainers, but semiconductor stocks are mixed overall, leaving the PHLX Semiconductor Index down 0.3%. Software stocks are faring considerably better, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) up 1.8%. There are also several notable individual movers within the broader technology landscape. Gen Digital (GEN 22.32, +1.48, +7.07%) is the best-performing S&P 500 component, while Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE 65.10, +3.60, +5.86%) is sharply higher after raising its Networking outlook and increasing its expected Juniper cost synergies ahead of its Networking Investor Day. Conversely, Jabil (JBL 293.77, -25.07, -7.86%) is under pressure despite better-than-expected Q4 results and an upbeat outlook, as elevated expectations surrounding its AI-driven growth prospects appear to have tempered the response. Three other S&P 500 sectors join the two growth-oriented groups in positive territory. The energy sector (+0.8%) is among the standouts as crude oil recoups some of yesterday's decline, rising $2.03 (+2.3%) to $91.41 per barrel. The consumer discretionary sector (+0.6%) also outperforms, helped by strength in several of its larger components. Losses among the six declining sectors remain relatively modest, although they have widened as the session has progressed. The real estate sector (-0.8%) sits at the bottom of the standings, followed by the consumer staples (-0.7%) and financials (-0.6%) sectors, with several components from those groups weighing on the price-weighted DJIA. Overall, today's index-level gains continue to obscure a more mixed showing beneath the surface. Cooler inflation data and strong mega-cap leadership have supported the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, but fading breadth, weakness among small- and mid-cap stocks, and a 10-year yield holding near 5.30% have kept the broader market from participating more fully. Reviewing today's data:
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| 12:30 ET | Dow -53.79 at 51296.04, Nasdaq +258.93 at 27077.51, S&P +37.56 at 7708.5 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq Composite (+1.0%), and DJIA (-0.1%) continue to move in a steady range at midday. Expectations for the Fed to hold rates steady at the October FOMC meeting have continued to rise following this morning's cooler-than-expected August PCE price index. The CME FedWatch tool now assigns a 60.7% probability to an unchanged policy rate, up from 49.1% yesterday and 29.1% a week ago. However, the move has had little effect on Treasury yields, with the 10-year note yield currently up three basis points to 5.29%. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1267/1332. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2252/1895. |
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| 12:00 ET | Dow -41.63 at 51308.2, Nasdaq +271.55 at 27090.13, S&P +41.35 at 7712.29 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages remain little changed from previous levels, though the DJIA (-0.1%) has slipped slighlty below its baseline at midday. The move coincides with decliners now outpacing advancers by a slim margin on the NYSE. Meanwhile, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE 64.89, +3.40, +5.53%) is sharply higher today and reached a new all-time high after raising its Networking outlook and outlining priorities for long-term growth ahead of its Networking Investor Day. Notably, HPE raised its FY27 Networking outlook again, just weeks after lifting it with its Q3 (Jul) results, while also increasing its expected Juniper cost synergies. HPE's Networking business is becoming an increasingly important growth engine as AI infrastructure spending expands beyond compute into switching, routing and connectivity. Q3 already showed demand running well ahead of revenue, with normalized orders up 36% versus 10% revenue growth. What stands out most is the pace of the revisions, with HPE raising its FY27 Networking outlook again just weeks after lifting it alongside Q3 results and now laying out a stronger growth framework through FY29. Juniper is also broadening HPE's reach across data center networking, routing, campus and security, while the higher synergy target points to solid integration execution and provides another lever to support margins as the combined business scales. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1211/1389. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2264/1820. |
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| 11:35 ET | Dow +16.42 at 51366.25, Nasdaq +278.49 at 27097.07, S&P +45.08 at 7716.02 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.6%) and Nasdaq Composite (+1.0%) hold solid gains just before midday as mega-cap tech stocks provide firm leadership. Mixed action across the broader market has kept the DJIA (+0.1%) in close proximity to its flat line throughout the session. Equity futures moved higher this morning following slightly cooler-than-expected inflation readings in the August Personal Income and Spending report. The PCE Price Index increased 0.3% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.4%), while the core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.3%). Breadth figures have tightened since the open, with advancers holding just a slim advantage over decliners on the NYSE while advancers outpace decliners by a roughly 3-to-2 ratio on the Nasdaq. Five S&P 500 sectors trade higher, led by the communication services (+1.4%) and information technology (+1.2%) sectors as the "Magnificent Seven" cohort trades mostly higher today with several sturdy gains in the mix. Alphabet (GOOG 347.89, +10.57, +3.13%) and Apple (AAPL 337.46, +8.06, +2.45%) are among the standouts, and the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is up 1.0%, helping the market-weighted S&P 500 (+0.6%) outperform the S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index (-0.1%). The energy sector (+0.8%) is another standout as crude oil rises $2.03 (+2.3%) to $91.41 per barrel amid a relatively quiet morning of geopolitical headlines. Losses are relatively modest across the six S&P 500 sectors that trade lower, limited to 0.6% or narrower. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1305/1279. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2319/1709. |
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| 11:05 ET | Dow +36.98 at 51386.81, Nasdaq +241.08 at 27059.66, S&P +40.12 at 7711.06 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The major averages continue to move higher this morning as tech leadership remains firm. There are a handful of notable stock-specific moves tied to earnings this morning, though none of the companies have a market-moving market cap. Jabil (JBL 296.55, -22.29, -6.99%) is volatile after posting a sizable Q4 beat and issuing Q1 and FY27 guidance above FactSet consensus, as elevated expectations for its AI-driven outlook overshadow the upbeat results. The stock's volatility indicates that those headline numbers were not sufficiently above the elevated expectations already embedded in the shares. The underlying opportunity remains substantial, but the increasing concentration in Intelligent Infrastructure raises exposure to hyperscaler spending, customer-program timing, and capacity-ramp execution. Conagra (CAG 13.37, -0.76, -5.38%) is also firmly lower after its Q1 (Aug) results this morning. EPS of $0.41 marked its largest beat in several quarters, while sales declined 1.4% to $2.60 bln, roughly in line with expectations. Congara also reaffirmed its FY27 guidance for organic sales declines of 1-3%, adjusted operating margin of 10.0-10.5% and EPS of $1.40-1.50, as it continues to advance CEO John Brase's priorities to restore margins, increase investment, reduce complexity and rebalance capital allocation. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1391/1164. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2271/1667. |
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| 10:30 ET | Dow -14.21 at 51335.62, Nasdaq +234.95 at 27053.53, S&P +34.56 at 7705.5 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq Composite (+0.9%), and DJIA (flat) are largely holding on to their solid early gains this morning. Mega-cap stocks continue to provide solid leadership, with the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF now up 1.0%. The consumer discretionary sector (+0.7%) has moved firmly higher in recent trading as Amazon (AMZN 250.57, +3.90, +1.58%) has widened its gain, while Tesla (TSLA 350.96, -1.88, -0.53%) has cut its early loss in half. This morning, Tesla entered into several credit agreements, totaling $30 billion dollars. Elsewhere in the sector, Airbnb (ABNB 161.32, +4.36, +2.77%) is one of the top-performing S&P 500 components after introducing a new tool that allows users to get travel recommendations from people they know, plan trips with AI, and book new services from meal delivery to baby gear. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1408/1115. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2325/1422. |
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| 10:00 ET | Dow +25.21 at 51375.04, Nasdaq +243.45 at 27062.03, S&P +39.59 at 7710.53 |
[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (+0.5%), Nasdaq Composite (+0.9%), and DJIA (+0.1%) are higher this morning, supported by positive breadth and solid leadership from the market's largest mega-cap stocks. Five of the "Magnificent Seven" names trade higher, with Alphabet (GOOG 346.39, +9.07, +2.69%) and NVIDIA (NVDA 231.72, +4.51, +1.98%) among the standouts, helping the information technology (+1.3%) and communication services (+1.3%) sectors sit atop the sector standings. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF is up 0.6%, although the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index is flat, reflecting a more subdued showing outside the largest stocks. Despite the solid gain in NVIDIA, semiconductor stocks are mixed overall, leaving the PHLX Semiconductor Index near its flat line. The energy sector (+0.7%) is another outperformer as crude oil recoups some of yesterday's losses, currently up $1.38 (+1.5%) to $90.76 per barrel. The materials sector (+0.2%) also holds a modest gain. Meanwhile, the remaining seven S&P 500 sectors trade lower, although the losses are generally modest. The real estate sector (-0.6%) is the only group down more than 0.5%. On the data front, the Chicago PMI expanded to 58.8 in September (Briefing.com consensus 53.2), from the prior level of 47.1. ..NYSE Adv/Dec 1436/1037. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 2077/1365. |
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| 09:11 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +27.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +118.00. Equity futures continue to point to a modestly higher open after this morning's inflation data came in better than feared. The August Personal Income and Spending report showed income up 0.2% month-over-month (Briefing.com consensus: 0.4%), spending up 0.9% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.7%), the PCE Price Index up 0.3% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.4%), and the core PCE Price Index up 0.2% (Briefing.com consensus: 0.3%). On a year-over-year basis, the PCE Price Index was up 3.4%, unchanged from July, which was revised down from 3.7%; and the core PCE Price Index was up 3.0%, also unchanged from July, which was revised down from 3.3%. The key takeaway, though, is that PCE inflation, no matter how you slice it, is still far above the Fed's 2.0% inflation target, so the idea that the Fed may raise rates again before the end of the year is bound to remain a lively one. |
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| 09:01 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +27.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +116.00. The S&P 500 futures currently trade 27 points above fair value. Asian markets finished mostly higher on Wednesday, with easing oil prices, stronger Chinese economic data, and renewed technology buying supporting sentiment. Japan's Nikkei 225 surged 2.1%, while the Topix gained 1.7%, led by SoftBank Group (+6.6%) following reports that OpenAI is seeking at least $30 bln in new funding, while Fujikura (+5.9%), Taiyo Yuden (+2.3%), and Kioxia (+1.2%) also advanced. China's Shanghai Composite rose 0.3%, while the Shenzhen Component slipped 0.1% after Beijing unveiled additional stimulus measures, including mortgage subsidies and expanded central-bank funding support, though investors still want stronger measures to boost domestic demand. China's September manufacturing PMI improved to 50.1 from 49.8, while the non-manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2 from 49.0 and the private RatingDog manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.1. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index reversed early losses to gain 0.4%, supported by Wuxi Biologics (+5.1%), Z.AI (+4.6%), Akeso (+2.1%), and Xiaomi (+0.4%). Mainland Chinese markets will remain closed from October 1 through October 7 for the National Day holiday.
European markets trade mixed, with easing energy-supply concerns providing some relief while fresh inflation data keeps the broader rate outlook in focus. Germany's DAX 40 slips 0.1% after an early gain, with Heidelberg Materials (+1.7%) and MTU Aero Engines (+1.6%) among the leaders while investors await German inflation data. France's CAC 40 falls 0.4% after September consumer inflation accelerates to 3.0%, its highest since February 2024, while household goods consumption declines 0.5% in August. Airbus (+1.4%), Safran (+1.3%), and L'Oral (+0.8%) advance, while TotalEnergies (-2.4%) and Publicis (-1.1%) lag. London's FTSE 100 gains 0.1% after second-quarter UK GDP growth is revised up to 0.5% from 0.4%, with Severn Trent and United Utilities (+3.0%) and Antofagasta (+3.2%) leading strength. Improved Middle East energy flows and another release from US emergency reserves are pressuring crude prices, weighing on BP (-1.7%) and Shell (-1.0%) while providing some relief from the energy-driven inflation pressures hanging over global markets.
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| 08:40 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +24.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +68.00. The S&P 500 futures now trade 24 points above fair value following this morning's data dump. Just released, personal income increased 0.2% month-over-month in August (Briefing.com consensus 0.4%), from a downwardly revised prior increase of 0.3% (from 0.4%). Personal spending rose 0.9% (Briefing.com consensus 0.7%), from a downwardly revised previous increase of 0.1% (from 0.2%). The PCE Price Index rose 0.3% in August (Briefing.com consensus 0.4%), from a downwardly revised prior increase of 0.1% (from 0.2%). The Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%), from a downwardly revised prior increase of 0.1% (from 0.2%). The third estimate of Q2 GDP was revised up to 2.2% from the second estimate of 1.5% (Briefing.com consensus 1.5%). The GDP Chain Deflator was revised down to 6.1% from the second estimate of 6.4% (Briefing.com consensus 6.3%). Advance Retail Inventories increased by 0.3% in August, from the upwardly revised previous increase of 0.8% (from 0.7%). Advance international trade in goods showed the deficit widening to $132.6 billion in August, from a prior deficit of $118.8 billion. Advance wholesale inventories increased by 0.7% in August, from the prior increase of 1.3%. |
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| 08:18 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: flat. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -74.00. The S&P 500 futures currently tradein-line with fair value. Just released, the ADP Employment Change Report saw 90K jobs added in September (Briefing.com consensus 58K), from a downwardly revised prior increase of 36K (from 38K). |
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| 08:04 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +1.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -58.00. Equity futures point to a flattish opening this morning as investors await a full slate of economic data and some consequential earnings reports after the close. The economic calendar is headlined by the August Personal Income and Spending report, which includes the PCE Price Index (Briefing.com consenus 0.4%), the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Stocks are coming off a mostly lower session in which weak breadth and participation overshadowed a solid showing from semiconductor and other AI-infrastructure stocks. The major averages did recover from their session lows following dovish commentary from New York Fed President John Williams, a voting FOMC member, who indicated there was no urgency for another policy adjustment. Those remarks helped temper expectations for another rate hike, with the CME FedWatch Tool now pricing in a 43.7% probability of a hike at the October FOMC meeting, down from 70.9% before his comments. The semiconductor group will remain in focus today, particularly with Micron (MU 1,067.95, +2.87, +0.3%) scheduled to report earnings after the close. The report should provide another important read on demand trends surrounding the AI infrastructure buildout following yesterday's relative strength in the group. On the U.S. data front:
Today's remaining economic calendar:
In corporate news:
Reviewing overnight developments: According to Nikkei, Asian markets finished mostly higher, supported by easing oil prices, stronger Chinese economic data, and renewed technology buying. In news:
In economic data:
Equity Markets:
European markets are mixed as easing energy-supply concerns provide some relief while fresh inflation data keeps the rate outlook in focus. In news:
In economic data:
Equity Markets:
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| 05:59 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +9.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -10.00. | |
| 05:59 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] Nikkei...66753.72...+1272.50...+1.90%. Hang Seng...24613.27...+89.70...+0.40%. | |
| 05:59 ET | Market is Closed |
| [BRIEFING.COM] FTSE...10660.93...+24.20...+0.20%. DAX...25372...-73.50...-0.30%. | |
| 16:20 ET | Dow -131.59 at 51349.83, Nasdaq -22.84 at 26818.58, S&P -12.85 at 7670.94 |
[BRIEFING.COM] Tuesday's session ended with modest losses for the major averages, but the relatively quiet finish belied another weak showing beneath the surface. The S&P 500 (-0.2%), Nasdaq Composite (-0.1%), and DJIA (-0.3%) recovered from their midday lows, aided by semiconductor strength and a late-afternoon lift following remarks from New York Fed President John Williams, while participation remained weak across the broader market. Stocks initially hovered near their flat lines before selling became more pronounced late in the morning. The retreat came despite a sizable decline in crude oil, which had provided some early encouragement following a report indicating that Middle Eastern oil exports have recovered to around their highest levels since the Iran war began, suggesting Iran could be losing some leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude ultimately settled $3.18 lower (-3.4%) at $89.26 per barrel. The decline removed some of the pressure that elevated energy prices have recently placed on the market, but stocks derived relatively little benefit as elevated Treasury yields remained a notable counterweight. The major averages received a late-afternoon boost following remarks from New York Fed President John Williams, a voting FOMC member, who said there is "no need for urgency" following the Fed's September policy action and that policymakers have time to gather additional information. The comments prompted markets to dial back expectations for another rate hike at the October FOMC meeting, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing the implied probability of a hike falling to 49.3% from 70.9% yesterday. Semiconductors provided one of the session's clearest sources of support. The PHLX Semiconductor Index rose 1.3%, bucking a 0.3% decline in the information technology sector and helping limit the Nasdaq's loss. Semiconductor-linked names such as Bloom Energy (BE 291.25, +28.38, +10.80%) also contributed to relative strength in the industrials sector (+0.2%), which was one of only four S&P 500 sectors to finish higher. A White House meeting attended by a number of prominent AI industry executives drew attention during the afternoon, with discussion touching on industry self-regulation and cooperation with local communities on data-center development, although the event did not produce a meaningful reaction in the market. The utilities sector (+1.1%) stood comfortably atop the sector standings, rebounding from a weaker showing yesterday. The communication services sector (+0.4%) also outperformed, supported by a rebound in Meta Platforms (META 738.96, +23.34, +3.26%) after the stock gave back some of last week's double-digit advance during Monday's session. The consumer discretionary sector (+0.1%) rounded out the positive side of the ledger, benefiting from several pronounced stock-specific gainers. Carvana (CVNA 63.63, +3.16, +5.23%) rallied alongside CarMax (KMX 59.26, +2.72, +4.80%) following the latter's better-than-expected Q2 report, while cruise-line stocks moved sharply higher. Carnival (CCL 25.14, +3.00, +13.53%) was a standout after reporting better-than-expected earnings and record Q3 revenue, with the broader cruise group also benefiting from the sharp decline in oil prices. Conversely, the energy sector (-0.9%) finished at the bottom of the standings as crude oil retreated. The consumer staples sector (-0.5%) was another notable underperformer, with Walmart (WMT 106.83, -1.90, -1.75%) weighing on the group and the price-weighted DJIA after Target (TGT 156.45, -1.98, -1.25%) announced permanent price reductions on nearly 2,000 apparel, footwear, accessories, and home products ahead of the holiday season, raising the prospect of increased pricing pressure across general merchandise. Fair Isaac (FICO 616.72, -224.17, -26.66%) was another major laggard and the worst-performing S&P 500 component. The stock plunged after FHFA Director Bill Pulte said Fannie Mae (FNMA 4.13, -0.27, -6.14%) and Freddie Mac (FMCC 3.81, -0.19, -4.81%) will move to a single pricing grid incorporating VantageScore alongside the existing FICO Classic model, increasing competition in a market where FICO has long held a dominant position. The weakness extended beyond the large-cap indices, with the Russell 2000 falling 0.4% and the S&P Mid Cap 400 declining 0.1%. Only four S&P 500 sectors finished higher, reinforcing the disconnect between the relatively modest losses in the major averages and the weaker performance across much of the market. Strength in semiconductors and a handful of other pockets helped contain the index-level declines, but the lack of broader participation remains a concern alongside elevated Treasury yields. Attention now turns to a busy slate of economic data Wednesday morning, headlined by the August Personal Income and Spending report. The headline PCE Price Index is expected to increase 0.4% month-over-month, while the core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, is expected to rise 0.3%. With Treasury yields remaining elevated and market participation continuing to lag, the inflation data will provide another important test for a market that has become increasingly sensitive to the interest-rate outlook. U.S. Treasuries finished mixed after yields climbed sharply despite falling oil prices. The 10-year yield reached 5.29%, while the 30-year yield hit its highest level since 2002 at 5.62%, before yields retreated in the afternoon after New York Fed President Williams said there was no need for urgency following the Fed's September rate hike. The 2-year note yield settled down four basis points to 4.89%, and the 10-year note yield settled up one basis point to 5.26%.
Reviewing today's data:
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