Briefing.com

Stock Market Update

Updated: 16-Oct-26

The market at 16:15 ET
Dow: -175.28...
Nasdaq: -572.99... S&P: -84.62...
NYSE Vol: 1.40 bln.. Adv: 1175.. Dec: 1553
Nasdaq Vol: 9.53 bln.. Adv: 1238.. Dec: 3569
Moving the Market Sector Watch


--Renewed selling of semiconductor stocks and AI trade concerns

--Rotation out of high-beta stocks and into lower-beta stocks

--WTI crude futures back above $100/bbl

--Week-to-date easing in Treasury yields
Strong: Utilities, Materials, Real Estate, Financials, Energy, Consumer Staples

Weak: Information Technology, Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary
16:15 ET Dow -175.28 at 52002.62, Nasdaq -572.99 at 26160.48, S&P -84.62 at 7659.51

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks finished sharply lower Friday, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 2.1%, the Russell 2000 losing 1.7%, the S&P 500 declining 1.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average shedding 0.3%. Concerns about AI financing, elevated valuations, and future investment returns drove a trend-down session that broadened beyond the largest technology names.

CoreWeave (CRWV 61.39, -8.30, -11.91%) remained a focal point for concerns about data center financing and future debt service burdens. Micron (MU 878.84, -52.40, -5.63%), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 528.75, -33.48, -5.95%), and Sandisk (SNDK 1299.30, -95.53, -6.85%) reflected continued semiconductor weakness as an early rebound attempt faded.

The communication services (-2.5%) and information technology (-2.5%) sectors were the biggest losers, while consumer discretionary was lower by 1.2%. Those heavily weighted groups were unduly influenced by weakness in their mega-cap constituents. It would have been worse for the information technology sector had Apple (AAPL 343.46, +1.46, +0.43%) been caught up in the selling pressure. It bucked the trend, though, with investors responding favorably to reports that the iPhone Duo sold out within minutes of being open for pre-orders.

Participation weakened as the session progressed. Earlier in the day, advancers led decliners at the NYSE by a better than 2-to-1 margin, but by the end of the session, it was decliners that led advancers by a roughly 4-to-3 margin. The lead was nearly 3-to-1 at the Nasdaq.

The Russell 2000's closing loss and a 0.4% decline in the equal-weighted S&P 500 confirmed that selling was not confined to mega-cap growth, but it was concentrated there and in the semiconductor space. The Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) declined 2.3%, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped 3.8%, leaving it down 11.4% for the week.

The energy sector (+2.5%) provided the clearest counterpoint. WTI crude climbed 3.6% to $101.40 per barrel amid supply concerns wrapped up in worries about the risk of additional military action between the Houthis and Saudi Arabia and the U.S. and Iran. The advance brought oil's weekly gain to nearly $10 per barrel and renewed inflation concerns as stocks were already struggling.

Treasuries finished mixed as the oil rally countered some late buying tied to equity weakness. The 2-yr yield slipped one basis point to 4.74%, while the 10-yr and 30-yr yields each rose one basis point to 5.10% and 5.44%, respectively. Even so, the 10-yr yield fell 14 basis points for the week, and the 30-yr yield dropped 16 basis points.

The session ultimately reflected a reassessment of higher-valuation and higher-beta exposure rather than a simple response to daily interest rate changes. Lower Treasury yields for the week did not prevent pronounced weakness in AI, semiconductor, software, and small-cap shares, and the market was unable to reproduce Thursday's successful rebound effort.

The CBOE Volatility Index surged 22.5% to 20.16 on increased portfolio hedging activity.

Today's economic reports kept both growth and inflation in view. Industrial output strengthened across manufacturing, mining, and utilities, while capacity utilization remained below its longer-run average, indicating firmer production without industrial resources being fully taxed. At the same time, the import-export price report for September showed an acceleration in inflation pressure that mirrored the CPI and PPI reports earlier in the week.

  • Nasdaq Composite: +12.5% YTD
  • S&P 500: +11.9% YTD
  • Russell 2000: +9.7% YTD
  • S&P Mid Cap 400: +9.4% YTD
  • DJIA: +8.2% YTD

Reviewing today's data:

  • September Import Prices 1.1%; prior revised to 0.5% from 0.7%
  • September Import Prices ex-oil 0.7%; prior revised to 0.6% from 0.8%
  • September Export Prices 2.2%; prior revised to 1.2% from 0.6%
  • September Export Prices ex-ag. 2.1%; prior revised to 1.3% from 0.7%
  • September Industrial Production 0.7% vs. 0.4% Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 0.1% from 0.0%
  • September Capacity Utilization 76.9% vs. 76.5% Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 76.4% from 76.3%
  • September Treasury Budget -$26.9B; prior -$166.8B

Monday's economic calendar:

  • 10:00 AM ET: October NAHB Housing Market Index; Briefing.com consensus 31; prior 32
..NYSE Adv/Dec 1175/1553. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1238/3569.
15:30 ET Dow -232.70 at 51945.2, Nasdaq -565.88 at 26167.59, S&P -86.79 at 7657.34

[BRIEFING.COM] The market remains near its session lows entering the final half hour, with selling still most pronounced in the Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000. The S&P 500 needs a meaningful late rebound to avoid its second decline of at least 1.0% this week.

That would mark a notable shift after the index went 53 trading days without a 1.0% daily loss. Weakness has remained concentrated in mega-cap growth, semiconductor, and AI-related shares, while concerns about financing costs and future debt-service burdens have weighed on momentum stocks. The broader participation in the decline has also increased as the session has progressed.

Attention will turn to a busier Q3 reporting calendar next week. FactSet shows a blended earnings growth rate  of 29.4% for the quarter for the S&P 500. A blended growth rate takes into account the actuals for companies that have reported and the estimates for companies that have not yet reported.

If achieved, that would mark the third straight quarter that earnings growth has exceeded 25%.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1068/1672. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1234/3545.
15:00 ET Dow -301.93 at 51875.97, Nasdaq -659.24 at 26074.23, S&P -107.52 at 7636.61

[BRIEFING.COM] The trend-down session has deepened as the final hour approaches, with extended losses in mega-cap and semiconductor stocks keeping the major indices under pressure and pinned near session lows. The Nasdaq Composite continues to underperform, while the Russell 2000's 1.7% decline shows that the weakness extends beyond the largest growth stocks.

Participation has deteriorated markedly. Advancers led decliners by a 2-to-1 margin at the NYSE earlier, but decliners now hold an 8-to-5 advantage. Sector support has also narrowed, with only six sectors higher versus nine earlier in the day. Information technology (-2.6%), communication services (-2.6%), and consumer discretionary (-1.6%) are the biggest laggards, pressured by their mega-cap constituents.

The Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK 89.72, -2.34, -2.55%) is a good proxy for the mega-cap weakness. Including today's losses, it is down 5.0% for the week.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1062/1666. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1208/3522.
14:25 ET Dow -270.39 at 51907.51, Nasdaq -579.91 at 26153.56, S&P -93.79 at 7650.34

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 (-1.2%) has faced steady pressure into the afternoon, and is now down 2.1% for the week while the Nasdaq's (-2.2%) underperformance has the tech-heavy index down 4.5% since last Friday's settlement.

Unlike yesterday, the market has not been able to stage a recovery effort even though seven sectors continue holding gains, but their strength has been outweighed by losses in some of the largest sectors by weight, led by technology (-2.4%, and followed by consumer discretionary (-1.5%), and communication services (-2.7%).

Adding insult to injury, crude oil accelerated this week's rally in morning trade, pushing past $101/bbl amid supply concerns, which in turn will invite speculation about inflation remaining at an elevated level. With today's rally, oil is now up $8.60/bbl for the week, nearing its mid-September high (106.75).

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1057/1637. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1288/3541.
13:55 ET Dow -181.79 at 51996.11, Nasdaq -512.40 at 26221.07, S&P -77.63 at 7666.5

[BRIEFING.COM] The major indices recently hit new lows for the session before getting a needed bounce close to the bottom of the hour.

It has been a tough day for the AI trade and many high-beta stocks, as festering concerns about financing costs and the ability to repay debt burdens in the future have pulled the plug for now on these momentum favorites.

The loss of momentum has led to a lot of outsized losses in individual stocks this week. For instance, CoreWeave (CRWV 61.83, -7.86, -11.28%) is down 24.7%, Dell (DELL 459.20, -14.19, -3.00%) is down 21.7%, and Applied Materials (AMAT 417.74, -12.27, -2.85%) is down 17.6%, to name a few.

Readings at the index level convey the selling pressure that has cut across the growth stock landscape. The Nasdaq 100 is down 5.1% week-to-date, the Russell 3000 Growth Index is down 4.7%, and the Nasdaq Composite is down 4.2%.

Meanwhile, the Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF (SPHB 140.23, -4.13, -2.86%) is down 8.9%.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1155/1551. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1287/3356.
13:25 ET Dow -287.33 at 51890.57, Nasdaq -533.94 at 26199.53, S&P -82.80 at 7661.33

[BRIEFING.COM] The S&P 500 energy sector has climbed to its high for the day as WTI crude futures have jumped 3.0% to $100.90 per barrel. That strength is a notable counterpoint as the broader market has weakened further since the last update, with losses deepening in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. The CBOE Volatility Index is up 28.4% to 21.13.

Oil's advance comes amid festering concerns about supply constraints, exacerbated by Yemen's Houthis threatening more attacks on Saudi Arabia. Investors are also considering the prospect of increased military action against Iran by the U.S. after the midterm election, keeping potential disruptions to global supply in focus.

Against that backdrop, Exxon Mobil (XOM 177.56, +2.88, +1.65%) provided an update outlining the third-quarter 2026 market and planned impacts to earnings ahead of its quarterly report. The update gives investors a company-specific reference point as higher crude prices improve the immediate backdrop for the energy sector.

All components in the S&P 500 energy sector (+2.1%) are higher in today's trade.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1091/1614. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1279/3340.
13:00 ET Dow -125.93 at 52051.97, Nasdaq -426.74 at 26306.73, S&P -59.65 at 7684.48

[BRIEFING.COM] Stocks have weakened into midday, with the Nasdaq Composite down 1.6%, the Russell 2000 lower by 1.2%, and the S&P 500 off 0.8%, trading below 7,700 and at its lows for the session. The Dow has slipped 0.2% after spending much of the morning in positive territory. Semiconductor and AI-related selling remains the central pressure point, but the retreat has broadened beyond the largest growth stocks as the session has progressed.

The morning's attempted semiconductor recovery did not last. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is down 2.2%, leaving it down 9.9% for the week.

Micron (MU 897.12, -34.12, -3.66%), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 541.57, -20.66, -3.67%), and Sandisk (SNDK 1328.94, -65.88, -4.72%) have reflected renewed pressure in the semiconductor space, while CoreWeave (CRWV 61.86, -7.82, -11.23%) has remained a focal point for concerns about AI and data-center infrastructure spending. Cybersecurity software stocks are also notable laggards today, with CrowdStrike (CRWD 227.57, -17.00, -6.95%) among the more prominent losers without a specific news catalyst to account for its outsized loss.

Apple (AAPL 344.77, +2.77, +0.81%) has been an exception to the selling pressure, supported by enthusiasm surrounding its iPhone Duo, which sold out within minutes after preorders opened, though its strength has not been enough to offset the wider technology retreat. The S&P 500 information technology sector is down 1.8%, as is the S&P 500 communications services sector.

Weakness has also surfaced outside technology. Vaccine shares came under sharp pressure earlier, with Moderna (MRNA 213.70, -22.80, -9.64%) and Novavax (NVAX 11.22, -1.60, -12.51%) seeing profit-taking and valuation concerns following substantial rallies. That reversal in a previously resilient health care area, together with the Russell 2000's decline, underscores that investors are reducing exposure beyond a narrow group of expensive growth names.

Earlier support from regional banks provided a counterweight but did not prevent the broader deterioration. Truist Financial (TFC 47.12, +0.56, +1.19%) and Regions Fincl (RF 27.36, +0.05, +0.18%) reported better-than-expected earnings, with Regions also showing sequential net interest margin expansion and improved credit metrics. M&T Bank (MTB 213.40, -5.25, -2.40%) also topped earnings expectations and recorded loan growth, although its net interest margin narrowed. Those results offered a mostly constructive operating read even as the major averages lost ground.

Treasury yields are not providing a straightforward explanation for the equity weakness. The 10-yr note yield is up just three basis points to 5.12%, but it is still 12 basis points lower for the week. The continued retreat in growth, high-beta, and small-cap stocks despite that weekly decline suggests valuation concerns and uncertainty about the eventual effect of elevated rates on demand and earnings remain important.

Today's data kept both inflation and growth considerations in focus. The import-export price index for September showed notable price pressure. Separately, industrial output strengthened across manufacturing, mining, and utilities, while resource use remained below its longer-run norm. That combination points to firmer production without industrial capacity being fully stretched, leaving solid activity and inflation pressure in view at the same time.

Reviewing today's data:

  • September Import Prices 1.1%; prior revised to 0.5% from 0.7%
  • September Import Prices ex-oil 0.7%; prior revised to 0.6% from 0.8%
  • September Export Prices 2.2%; prior revised to 1.2% from 0.6%
  • September Export Prices ex-ag. 2.1%; prior revised to 1.3% from 0.7%
  • September Industrial Production 0.7% vs. 0.4% Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 0.1% from 0.0%
  • September Capacity Utilization 76.9% vs. 76.5% Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 76.4% from 76.3%
..NYSE Adv/Dec 1305/1378. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1438/3137.
12:25 ET Dow -5.62 at 52172.28, Nasdaq -336.93 at 26396.54, S&P -40.58 at 7703.55

[BRIEFING.COM] Selling has broadened approaching midday. The Dow slipped just below unchanged after holding a small gain, while losses in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have deepened from the prior update.

The S&P 500 health care sector is down 0.2% after being up 0.6% earlier. That reversal interrupts an otherwise strong stretch: the sector is up 3.4% week-to-date and 4.9% month-to-date. Those longer-term gains underscore health care's countercyclical and defensive-oriented appeal, as demand tends to be less sensitive to changes in the economic cycle.

Vaccine stocks are contributing to today's reversal.

Moderna (MRNA 212.76, -23.74, -10.04%), Novavax (NVAX 11.29, -1.53, -11.93%), Vaxcyte (PCVX 63.56, -1.71, -2.61%), and BioNTech (BNTX 88.22, -1.98, -2.20%) are all lower amid profit-taking and valuation concerns following a major rally in the group. Since mid-August, Moderna had surged 240%, and Novavax had gained 45%, leaving both exposed to a pullback as investors reassess how quickly cancer-vaccine and other development opportunities can generate commercial revenue.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1471/1218. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1599/2920.
12:00 ET Dow +43.51 at 52221.41, Nasdaq -335.69 at 26397.78, S&P -40.73 at 7703.4

[BRIEFING.COM] The market's divergence has widened further approaching midday. Growth stocks remain under pressure, the Russell 2000 is down 0.7%, and the Dow's gain has narrowed to 0.1%. The latest Treasury snapshot puts the 10-yr note yield at 5.09%, unchanged today but down 15 basis points for the week.

The Russell 3000 Growth Index is down 1.1% today and 3.9% week-to-date, while the Russell 2000 has fallen 2.0% this week. The more pronounced damage is in high-beta stocks, evidenced by an 8.1% week-to-date decline in the Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF (SPHB).

That underperformance, despite the weekly decline in Treasury yields, suggests the selling is not simply an interest-rate response. Investors appear to be reducing exposure to higher-valuation, more volatile stocks, with the weakness in small caps indicating that the caution extends beyond the largest growth names, perhaps because participants are not convinced that rates have finished moving higher or perhaps because they worry that higher rates will ultimately weaken demand and earnings growth prospects.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1650/1032. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1793/2669.
11:25 ET Dow +117.87 at 52295.77, Nasdaq -318.50 at 26414.97, S&P -28.89 at 7715.24

[BRIEFING.COM] The market's divergence has widened as the morning has progressed. The brief rebound attempt in semiconductor stocks has faded, and renewed selling in the group has left the S&P 500 information technology sector down 1.6% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down 2.3%.

Apple (AAPL 346.02, +4.02, +1.17%) is a notable exception to the technology-sector weakness. The sector's largest component is outperforming amid excitement surrounding the high-priced iPhone Duo, which sold out within minutes after pre-orders opened. Apple's relative strength is also contributing to the Dow's outperformance.

The failed rebound in semiconductor shares marks a reversal from the prior update, when the group had moved off its early lows. Their renewed weakness keeps the growth-stock retreat at the center of the market's mixed posture approaching midday.

The S&P 500 (-0.4%) is at its lows for the session.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1723/918. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 183/2482.
11:00 ET Dow +219.86 at 52397.76, Nasdaq -182.21 at 26551.26, S&P -4.85 at 7739.28

[BRIEFING.COM] The market has improved modestly since the prior update. The S&P 500 has edged closer to unchanged, while the Nasdaq Composite has trimmed its decline to 0.7%. The Dow continues to outperform with a 0.4% gain.

Some rebound fight has emerged in semiconductor and AI-related shares after their initial weakness. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (-1.4%) has come off its session low, alongside Micron (MU 901.75, -29.49, -3.17%), Sandisk (SNDK 1341.38, -53.44, -3.83%).

The recovery effort, though, remains incomplete.

CoreWeave (CRWV 64.17, -5.52, -7.92%) continues to reflect caution surrounding AI and data-center infrastructure investment, and the Nasdaq remains in negative territory. The setup bears watching in light of Thursday's trade, when the broader market recovered from early losses even as semiconductor and other technology stocks remained weak. Today's rebound attempts in the group will need to build further to produce a similar broad-market recovery pattern.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1746/866. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1971/2312.
10:30 ET Dow +221.26 at 52399.16, Nasdaq -219.13 at 26514.34, S&P -10.46 at 7733.67

[BRIEFING.COM] The opening divergence remains in place, with the Dow up 0.4% while the Nasdaq Composite is down 0.8%. The S&P 500 sits just below unchanged, reflecting continued weakness in growth stocks alongside strength elsewhere.

Regional-bank earnings have offered a mostly constructive operating picture. Truist (TFC 47.66, +1.09, +2.34%) beat the FactSet earnings consensus by $0.02 on 1.3% revenue growth and issued in-line fourth-quarter revenue guidance.

Regions Fincl (RF 27.87, +0.56, +2.05%) beat by $0.07 as net interest margin expanded sequentially to 3.68%, net charge-offs improved, and average loans increased. Citizens Financial Group (CFG 64.06, +0.62, +0.99%) beat by $0.02, generated a 15.1% return on tangible common equity and 5.3% positive operating leverage, raised its dividend 13%, and increased repurchase capacity.

M&T Bank (MTB 216.90, -1.75, -0.80%) beat by $0.11 and recorded loan growth led by commercial real estate, though net interest margin narrowed to 3.65% from 3.70%.

The SPDR S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE 70.76, +1.01, +1.45%) provides the broader basket-level read on the group, which has been a key driver contributing to the outperformance of the S&P 500 financials sector (+1.2%).

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1751/817. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1934/2195.
09:55 ET Dow +366.11 at 52544.01, Nasdaq -194.95 at 26538.52, S&P -4.01 at 7740.12

[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market is off to a mixed start, as expected, with some renewed selling in the semiconductor space and AI trade leading to the underperformance of the S&P 500 information technology sector (-1.0%) and the Nasdaq Composite (-0.6%). The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index is down 2.0%.

Nonetheless, there is still broad market support with a rotation out of high-beta stocks and into lower-beta stocks that is benefitting many other sectors.

Early leadership can be seen in the materials (+1.5%), financials (+1.3%), consumer staples (+1.3%), industrials (+1.0%), and utilities (+0.9%) sectors.

An easing in Treasury yields this week has supported the rotation activity. The 10-yr note yield is unchanged today at 5.10%; however, it is down 14 basis points for the week in spite of a rash of disappointing inflation data that included today's Import-Export Price Index for September. The latter showed nonfuel import prices up 6.0% year-over-year and nonagricultural export prices up 11.8% year-over-year.

..NYSE Adv/Dec 1677/783. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 1776/1967.
09:23 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +14.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -145.00.

September industrial production accelerated more than expected, with the prior month also revised slightly higher, while capacity utilization topped estimates, and its prior reading was raised. The report points to broader strength across manufacturing, mining, and utilities without fully stretched industrial resources, as utilization remained below its long-run average. S&P 500 futures remain modestly higher and Nasdaq 100 futures remain lower, indicating a limited response to the data.

On the data front:

  • September Industrial Production 0.7% vs. 0.4% Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 0.1% from 0.0%
  • September Capacity Utilization 76.9% vs. 76.5% Briefing.com consensus; prior revised to 76.4% from 76.3%
09:06 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +15.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -129.00.

S&P 500 futures point to a modestly higher open, but the Nasdaq 100 futures suggest a lower open is in store for that index.

Asian markets finished mostly higher on Friday, rebounding from the recent technology rout after record earnings from TSMC and stronger AI-related demand helped ease concerns surrounding the investment boom. Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 1.4%, with Lasertec (+5%), Kioxia (+4%), Toyota Motor (+2%), and Taiyo Yuden (+2%) leading the recovery, although the index still recorded its steepest weekly decline since July. South Korea's KOSPI rallied 2.1% following seven consecutive declines, with foreign investors returning to net buying and Hanwha Aerospace (+8%), Samsung C&T (+6%), Hyundai Motor (+5%), and Samsung Electronics (+3%) among the leaders. China's Shanghai Composite edged up 0.2%, while the Shenzhen Component slipped 0.1% to a more-than-one-year low as Beijing's efforts to support equities competed with persistent China-EU trade tensions. Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.5%, with Lenovo (+6%), Genscript Biotech (+5%), and Kingboard Laminates (+3%) participating in the rebound. The recovery provides some relief following this week's sharp semiconductor selloff, although concerns surrounding elevated AI valuations, growing Chinese competition in memory chips, and the sustainability of heavy capital spending remain unresolved.

  • In economic data:
    • South Korea's September unemployment rate was 2.6% (prior 2.7%).
    • South Korea's September Import Price Index increased 17.6% yr/yr (prior 15.9%).
    • South Korea's September Export Price Index increased 40.9% yr/yr (prior 42.7%).

European markets trade mostly higher, with easing concerns surrounding AI investment and interest rates combining with lower oil prices to support risk appetite despite hotter inflation data. Germany's DAX rises 1.0% to a more than three-week high, with BMW (+2%), Mercedes-Benz (+2%), and Volkswagen (+2%) participating in broad strength across autos, industrials, retailers, banks, and telecom shares, while Commerzbank (+1%) advances after the ECB approved UniCredit's plan to increase its stake. France's CAC 40 gains 0.4% despite renewed EU-China trade tensions, with investors monitoring potential European restrictions on Chinese imports and Beijing's warning that it could retaliate against discriminatory measures. London's FTSE 100 underperforms with a 0.1% gain as reports of potential tax increases on banks pressure Lloyds (-3%), NatWest (-2%), and Barclays (-1%), while AstraZeneca (-1%), GSK (-1%), and Rio Tinto (-1%) also retreat. Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.8% yr/yr in September from 3.2%, while core inflation edged up to 2.5%, keeping price pressures in focus even as broader concerns surrounding interest rates ease. The STOXX Europe 600 rises 0.7%, while Italy's FTSE MIB and Spain's IBEX 35 each gain 1.1%, underscoring the broadly positive tone outside the U.K.

  • In economic data:
    • Eurozone September CPI increased 0.6% m/m (expected 0.6%; prior 0.4%) and 3.8% yr/yr (expected 3.8%; prior 3.2%).
    • Eurozone September core CPI increased 0.2% m/m (expected 0.2%; prior 0.2%) and 2.5% yr/yr (expected 2.5%; prior 2.4%).
    • Eurozone September HICP excluding energy and food increased 2.2% yr/yr (expected 2.2%; prior 2.1%).
    • The Eurozone's August trade balance showed a EUR16.1 billion deficit (prior EUR10.7 billion surplus).
    • Italy's September CPI increased 0.7% m/m (expected 0.7%; prior 0.5%) and 4.2% yr/yr (expected 4.2%; prior 3.3%).
    • Italy's September HICP increased 2.1% m/m (expected 2.0%; prior 0.1%) and 4.2% yr/yr (expected 4.1%; prior 3.2%).
    • Italy's August trade surplus totaled EUR1.773 billion (expected EUR7.500 billion; prior EUR8.247 billion).
08:39 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +13.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -74.00.

Equity futures continue to signal a mixed start.

Some weakness in semiconductor and AI-related names remains a limiting factor, while the 10-yr Treasury yield has seen some early volatility, moving between 5.07% and 5.12%. It currently stands at 5.09% after the release of the September Import-Export Price Index, which had its share of not-good inflationary readings.

September industrial production and capacity utilization are due at 9:15 ET, providing the next look at manufacturing activity.

On the U.S. data front:

  • September Import Prices 1.1%; prior revised to 0.5% from 0.7%
  • September Import Prices ex-oil 0.7%; prior revised to 0.6% from 0.8%
  • September Export Prices 2.2%; prior revised to 1.2% from 0.6%
  • September Export Prices ex-ag. 2.1%; prior revised to 1.3% from 0.7%

Today's remaining economic calendar:

  • 9:15 AM ET: September Industrial Production; Briefing.com consensus 0.4%; prior 0.0%
  • 9:15 AM ET: September Capacity Utilization; Briefing.com consensus 76.5%; prior 76.3%
  • 4:00 PM ET: August Net Long-Term TIC Flows; prior -$27.9B
08:02 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +6.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -119.00.

Equity futures are pointing to a mixed start, with S&P 500 futures six points above fair value and the Nasdaq 100 futures 119 points below fair value, as selling in the semiconductor space and AI trade has resumed.

Corporate developments remain active following earnings from Dow component Travelers (TRV 367.18, -16.71, -4.35%), updated guidance from Semtech (SMTC 150.00, +5.79, +4.01%), and Tesla's (TSLA 373.70, +11.26, +3.11%) Roadster unveiling. Separately, technology shares rebounded across much of Asia, while European trading has a positive bias despite hotter inflation data.

The September import and export price reports are due at 8:30 ET, followed by industrial production and capacity utilization at 9:15 ET. Those releases will provide the next read on inflation pressures and manufacturing activity.

Today's remaining economic calendar:

  • 8:30 AM ET: September Import Prices; prior 0.7%
  • 8:30 AM ET: September Import Prices ex-oil; prior 0.8%
  • 8:30 AM ET: September Export Prices; prior 0.6%
  • 8:30 AM ET: September Export Prices ex-ag.; prior 0.7%
  • 9:15 AM ET: September Industrial Production; Briefing.com consensus 0.4%; prior 0.0%
  • 9:15 AM ET: September Capacity Utilization; Briefing.com consensus 76.5%; prior 76.3%
  • 4:00 PM ET: August Net Long-Term TIC Flows; prior -$27.9B

In corporate news:

  • Alcoa (AA 41.23, +0.81, +2.00%) exceeded third-quarter earnings expectations but missed revenue estimates. Its fourth-quarter outlook includes unfavorable effects from higher raw-material costs and planned maintenance in the aluminum segment.
  • Netflix (NFLX 70.30, -2.31, -3.2%) names Peter Rice Chief Content Officer, replacing Bela Bajaria, who is leaving Netflix after nearly 10 years
  • Tesla (TSLA 373.70, +11.26, +3.11%) unveiled its redesigned Roadster, featuring SpaceX-developed compressed-gas thrusters and a suction system used during the demonstration, although the near-term revenue impact is limited.
  • Travelers (TRV 367.18, -16.71, -4.35%) reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings and revenue. Its combined ratio improved to 86.8%, helped by higher favorable prior-year reserve development and partly offset by higher catastrophe losses.
  • Semtech (SMTC 150.00, +5.79, +4.01%) raised its third-quarter earnings and revenue guidance above consensus and outlined a fiscal 2030 framework targeting $3.2 billion in net sales.

Reviewing overnight developments:

Asian markets finished mostly higher as record TSMC earnings and stronger AI-related demand helped ease some concerns about the investment boom, according to Nikkei.

In news:

  • Nikkei reported that South Korean shares drew renewed foreign buying after seven consecutive declines.
  • Beijing's efforts to support equities competed with persistent China-EU trade tensions, while concerns about elevated AI valuations, Chinese competition in memory chips, and heavy capital spending remained unresolved, according to Nikkei.

In economic data:

  • South Korea's September Unemployment Rate 2.6% (prior 2.7%); Import Price Index 17.6% yr/yr (prior 15.9%) and Export Price Index 40.9% yr/yr (prior 42.7%)

--- Equity Markets ---

  • Japan's Nikkei: +1.4%
  • Hong Kong's Hang Seng: +0.5%
  • China's Shanghai Composite: +0.2%
  • India's Sensex: +0.6%
  • South Korea's Kospi: +2.1%
  • Australia's All Ordinaries: +1.1%

European markets trade mostly higher, with broad strength outside the U.K. as lower oil prices and easing concerns surrounding AI investment and interest rates offset hotter inflation data.

In news:

  • German auto shares are showing strength, while U.K. banks are under pressure amid reports of potential tax increases.
  • Investors are monitoring renewed EU-China trade tensions and the possibility of European restrictions on Chinese imports.

In economic data:

  • Eurozone September CPI 0.6% m/m (expected 0.6%; prior 0.4%) and 3.8% yr/yr (expected 3.8%; prior 3.2%); Core CPI 0.2% m/m (expected 0.2%; prior 0.2%) and 2.5% yr/yr (expected 2.5%; prior 2.4%); HICP excluding energy and food 2.2% yr/yr (expected 2.2%; prior 2.1%) Eurozone August Trade Balance -EUR16.1 bln (prior EUR10.7 bln)
  • Italy's September CPI 0.7% m/m (expected 0.7%; prior 0.5%) and 4.2% yr/yr (expected 4.2%; prior 3.3%); HICP 2.1% m/m (expected 2.0%; prior 0.1%) and 4.2% yr/yr (expected 4.1%; prior 3.2%)
  • Italy's August Trade Balance EUR1.773 bln (expected EUR7.500 bln; prior EUR8.247 bln)

--- Equity Markets --- 

  • STOXX Europe 600 : +0.7%
  • Germany's DAX : +1.0%
  • U.K.'s FTSE 100 : +0.1%
  • France's CAC 40 : +0.4%
  • Italy's FTSE MIB : +1.1%
  • Spain's IBEX 35 : +1.1%
05:58 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] S&P futures vs fair value: +11.00. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -83.00.
05:58 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] Nikkei...65324.29...+898.30...+1.40%.  Hang Seng...24186.83...+124.10...+0.50%.
05:58 ET Market is Closed
[BRIEFING.COM] FTSE...10821.52...-18.80...-0.20%.  DAX...25603.8...+115.30...+0.50%.
16:20 ET Dow +556.21 at 52177.9, Nasdaq +20.16 at 26733.47, S&P +25.12 at 7744.13

[BRIEFING.COM] The stock market staged an impressive recovery from early losses on Thursday, with broad-based buying interest helping the major averages finish higher despite continued weakness in semiconductor and other technology stocks. The S&P 500 (+0.3%), Nasdaq Composite (+0.1%), and DJIA (+1.1%) all ended in positive territory after a difficult start, while the Russell 2000 (+1.4%) and S&P Mid Cap 400 (+1.0%) outperformed as strength extended well beyond the largest companies.

The strength beneath the surface was particularly encouraging, with the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index jumping 1.3%, substantially outperforming its market-cap-weighted counterpart. That divergence reflected considerable buying interest across the broader market, which provided an important counterweight to technology weakness throughout the session and helped sustain the recovery as investors stepped back into beaten-down semiconductor stocks during the afternoon.

Technology stocks faced another wave of selling at the open as investors continued to question the financing of the massive AI infrastructure buildout, particularly the reliance on debt to fund expansion. Concerns about growing competition from Chinese memory chipmakers also weighed on sentiment, while Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's (TSM 422.55, -7.45, -1.73%) better-than-expected quarterly results and above-consensus revenue guidance failed to provide an immediate lift to the semiconductor group. The PHLX Semiconductor Index fell as much as 4.4% before recovering to finish just 0.9% lower, suggesting that bargain hunting emerged after the group's recent sharp retreat.

The information technology sector (-0.5%) also recovered considerably after falling nearly 2% in early trading. Dell (DELL 474.06, -33.87, -6.67%) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE 58.63, -4.48, -7.10%) remained notable exceptions, finishing as the S&P 500's worst-performing components as selling pressure carried over from yesterday. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (-0.2%) also staged a substantial recovery, although NVIDIA (NVDA 217.23, -4.07, -1.84%) remained among the mega-cap laggards.

CoreWeave (CRWV 69.69, +3.91, +5.94%) offered one of the clearest examples of the shift in sentiment. Shares opened sharply lower following a 15% plunge on Wednesday amid mounting concerns about the company's debt-funded expansion plans and reports of distress in its unsecured debt. However, the stock reversed course and moved firmly higher after Bloomberg reported that NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang believes CoreWeave's financial position is improving and does not require a financial backstop. The turnaround helped ease some of the pressure surrounding AI infrastructure names, even as questions about financing costs and the sustainability of aggressive capital spending persisted.

Outside of technology, buying interest remained widespread, although leadership shifted somewhat as the session progressed. The health care sector (+1.8%) finished atop the leaderboard despite surrendering some of its earlier gains as semiconductor stocks recovered in the afternoon. The consumer staples sector (+0.4%) was an even starker example of the trend, giving back much of an advance that had exceeded 2% earlier in the session as buying interest shifted toward other areas.

Meanwhile, the financials sector (+1.4%) maintained its strength throughout the day, supported by gains among insurance-related companies and financial publishing stocks. Coinbase Global (COIN 183.81, +10.92, +6.32%) was also among the S&P 500's best-performing components.

Strength also extended to consumer-oriented and rate-sensitive stocks, with the consumer discretionary sector (+1.2%) outperforming despite a relatively subdued showing from most mega-cap names. Homebuilders and other housing-related companies benefited from the substantial decline in Treasury yields, with the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF jumping 4.0%. Retailers also attracted buying interest, reflected in a 3.7% gain in the SPDR S&P Retail ETF, while NIKE (NKE 37.14, +1.84, +5.21%) rebounded sharply from its recent 52-week lows.

The improvement in the interest rate backdrop provided an additional source of support for the broader market. Treasuries attracted safe-haven buying interest early in the session as technology stocks sold off, and yields remained sharply lower across the curve even as equities recovered. The decline helped relieve some of the pressure that elevated borrowing costs have placed on rate-sensitive groups, particularly housing and mortgage-related stocks.

That Treasury strength was especially notable given another round of concerning inflation data. Wednesday's September CPI report was followed by this morning's hotter-than-expected PPI release, which showed headline producer price inflation accelerating to 6.3% year-over-year from 5.6%, while core PPI increased to 5.0% from 4.8%. The report reinforced concerns about persistent inflation but did little to materially alter expectations for an October Fed rate hike. Nevertheless, Treasury yields finished lower across the curve.

One area that failed to participate in the broader recovery was the energy sector (-1.6%), which gave back some of its recent outperformance despite a sizable increase in crude oil prices. WTI crude futures settled $2.81 higher (+3.0%) at $97.92 per barrel, while the utilities sector (-0.2%) also finished modestly lower.

Ultimately, Thursday's session was defined by the breadth of the recovery and investors' willingness to step into beaten-down semiconductor and AI-related stocks. Although the technology group remained under pressure, its substantial rebound from early lows, combined with strong gains across the broader market, pointed to a considerably healthier underlying market than the major averages initially suggested.

U.S. Treasuries recorded strong gains on Thursday, extending their midweek rebound from post-CPI lows. The 2-year note yield settled down five basis points to 4.75%, and the 10-year note yield settled down 10 basis points to 5.09%. 

  • Nasdaq Composite: +14.9% YTD
  • S&P 500: +13.1% YTD
  • Russell 2000: +11.5% YTD
  • S&P Mid Cap 400: +10.4% YTD
  • DJIA: +8.6% YTD

Reviewing today's data:

  • Sep PPI 1.3% (Briefing.com consensus 0.5%; Prior 0.5% revised from 0.4%)
  • Sep Core PPI 0.7% (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%; Prior 0.2%)
  • Retail sales jumped 0.8% month-over-month in September (Briefing.com consensus: 0.3%) following an upwardly revised 1.3% (from 1.2%) in August. Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.9% (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%) after increasing 1.4% in August.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that there was continued strength across many discretionary spending categories that wasn't just driven by higher prices. Spending at food services and drinking places, for instance, was up 1.1% after increasing 1.4% in August.
  • Sep Retail Sales, ex-auto 0.9% (Briefing.com consensus 0.3%; Prior 1.4%)
  • Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 10 increased by 1,000 to 199,000 (Briefing.com consensus: 200,000). Continuing jobless claims for the week ending October 3 decreased by 4,000 to 1.710 million.
    • The key takeaway from the report continues to be that it signals low layoff activity, which is a reflection of a solid demand environment.
  • Oct Empire State Manufacturing 25.5 (Briefing.com consensus 7.0; Prior 7.6)
  • Oct Philadelphia Fed Index 20.9 (Briefing.com consensus 29.0; Prior 37.8)
  • Aug Business Inventories 0.4% (Briefing.com consensus 0.4%; Prior 0.9% revised from 0.8%)
  • 10/10 EIA Natural Gas Inventories +67 bcf (Prior +85 bcf)
..NYSE Adv/Dec 2076/665. ..NASDAQ Adv/Dec 3274/1646.

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